Doomsday Clock Concepts

The Doomsday Calculation: How an Equation That Predicts the Future Is Transforming Everything We Know About Life and the Universe

by William Poundstone · 3 Jun 2019 · 283pp · 81,376 words

anything were to happen to that global economy, billions could die of starvation. The small postapocalyptic population would then slow down the hands of the doomsday clock. Human extinction might be put off a long time, but billions would have died. Wells’s estimated 1 percent per year chance of societal collapse

Global Catastrophic Risks

by Nick Bostrom and Milan M. Cirkovic · 2 Jul 2008

be as grave as the bomb. The Bulletin's clock is now closer to midnight again. These threats may not trigger sudden worldwide catastrophe - the doomsday clock is not such a good metaphor - but they are, in aggregate, disquieting and challenging. The tensions between benign and damaging spin-offs from new technologies

…

, 295 Buchanan, M., Ubiquity 181, 182 Buddhism messianism 77 post-millenialism 76 premillenialism 75 Buehler, R. et a!. 1 08-9 Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, doomsday clock vii, viii Bunn, M. 423 Burnet, F . M . , Virus as Organism: Evolutionary and Ecological Aspects of Some Human Virus Diseases 304 Burton, I. et al

…

synthesis technology 458-60 increasing availability 450 outsourcing 465 risk management 463-4 dollar-loss power of disasters 368-9 Doomsday Argument 129-3 1 doomsday clock, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists vii, viii Index dotcom bubble burst, insurance costs 1 7 3 Drake equation 2 14-1 5 Drexler, K . E . 3

Atomic Obsession: Nuclear Alarmism From Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda

by John Mueller · 1 Nov 2009 · 465pp · 124,074 words

development of a weapon that could kill with much-heightened effectiveness, helped found the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in 1945. It soon sported its “doomsday clock” on the cover, suggesting that there was hope of preventing Armageddon, but only if we were quick about it. The clock has remained poised at

Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress

by Steven Pinker · 13 Feb 2018 · 1,034pp · 241,773 words

, the Federation of American Scientists, the Committee for Nuclear Responsibility, the Pugwash Conferences, and the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, whose cover shows the famous Doomsday Clock, now set at two and a half minutes to midnight.69 Physical scientists, unfortunately, often consider themselves experts in political psychology, and many seem to

…

embrace the folk theory that the most effective way to mobilize public opinion is to whip people into a lather of fear and dread. The Doomsday Clock, despite adorning a journal with “Scientists” in its title, does not track objective indicators of nuclear security; rather, it’s a propaganda stunt intended, in

…

the arms race by scaring the nation into pursuing more and bigger bombs, the better to deter the Soviets.86 Even the originator of the Doomsday Clock, Eugene Rabinowitch, came to regret his movement’s strategy: “While trying to frighten men into rationality, scientists have frightened many into abject fear or blind

…

Nuclear Winter,” New York Times, Feb. 11, 2016. History of nuclear winter/autumn controversy: Morton 2015. 69. Doomsday Clock: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 2017. 70. Eugene Rabinowitch, quoted in Mueller 2010a, p. 26. 71. Doomsday Clock: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, “A Timeline of Conflict, Culture, and Change,” Nov. 13, 2013, http://thebulletin

…

, A. 2016. The Second Machine Age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. New York: Norton. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 2017. Doomsday Clock timeline. http://thebulletin.org/timeline. Bunce, V. 2017. The prospects for a color revolution in Russia. Daedalus, 146, 19–29. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2016a

…

of, 386 information accumulation and evolution of, 20 testing of, and wrongful capital punishment, 212 Doctorow, E. L., 456n1 Dominican Republic, 188 Doobie Brothers, 147 Doomsday Clock, 308–9, 311 Douglas, Michael, 147–8 drowning deaths, 182, 182 drugs, illegal overdose deaths from, 182, 183, 184–5 violence produced by, 175–6

Chaos Kings: How Wall Street Traders Make Billions in the New Age of Crisis

by Scott Patterson · 5 Jun 2023 · 289pp · 95,046 words

and VIX call options—bets on a spike in volatility—before things went crazy. * * * On January 23, 2020, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists moved its Doomsday Clock twenty seconds closer to midnight—“closer,” it said, “to apocalypse than ever”—a symbolic one hundred seconds to humanity’s ruin. The group, founded in

…

side of me says, yeah, we kind of know that.” CHAPTER 20 THE GAMBLE On January 27, 2021, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists said its Doomsday Clock stood at one hundred seconds to midnight—unmoved since the previous year. Two big things had changed in those twelve months. Covid-19 was killing

…

the death of millions. The pandemic was a “historic wake-up call,” Rachel Bronson, president of the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, said in its annual Doomsday Clock statement. The disastrous response to Covid-19 illustrated “that national governments and international organizations are unprepared to manage nuclear weapons and climate change, which currently

…

hard to keep grinning when you feared Black Swans lurked in the shadows. On January 20, 2022, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists set the Doomsday Clock at one hundred seconds to midnight—exactly where it had stood since ticking closer to Armageddon in January 2020 as the Covid-19 pandemic exploded

…

knew he’d get his shot one of these days. * * * On January 24, 2023, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the hands of the Doomsday Clock forward to 90 seconds to midnight, the closest to global catastrophe in its history. The primary reason: Putin’s war in Ukraine. “Russia’s thinly

…

Redirection Test) mission, 282, 291 Davos meetings, 119, 183–85 Dawkins, Richard, 124 Deep Green movement, 194–95 DiFrancesca, Charlie, 44 Dominion Energy, 248, 250 Doomsday Clock, 163–64, 235–36, 285 Dragon Kings Sornette’s conception of, 31, 91–92, 132–33, 142, 144–46, 202, 205, 288 Taleb’s Gray

…

(January 6, 2021) and, 251 as a Black Swan event, 105 climate threat and, 186 Covid-19 response of, 17, 18–19, 23, 165, 167 Doomsday Clock response to election loss of, 235 economic conditions and rise of, 35, 122 election of, 151, 280 Goldstone and Turchin’s forecast about election loss

Extreme Money: Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk

by Satyajit Das · 14 Oct 2011 · 741pp · 179,454 words

of money, leading to an explosion of debt. In 1947 the directors of the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists at the University of Chicago created the doomsday clock. The minutes to midnight represent the time remaining to catastrophic destruction (midnight) of the human race from global nuclear war. In 1989 Seymour Darst, a

…

Dr Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb, there is speculation about whether the Russians possess this technology. Currently, the doomsday clock reads around 5 minutes to midnight. In 2008, as the global financial crisis gripped the world, the financial equivalent of the doomsday machine—an unstable

…

American, 21-22, 28, 87 aussies, 21 kiwis, 21 Zimbabwe, 23 domain knowledge, 64 domestic corporate profits, United States, 276 Dominion Bond Rating Service, 283 doomsday clock, 34 Dorgan, Bryan, 67 Douglas, Michael, 167, 310 Dow 36,000, 99 Dow 40,000: Strategies for Profiting from the Greatest Bull Market in History

The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity

by Toby Ord · 24 Mar 2020 · 513pp · 152,381 words

in ten” (Ellsberg, 2017, p. 220). 55 I was particularly surprised in January 2018 to see the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists setting their famous Doomsday Clock to “2 minutes to midnight,” stating that the world is “as dangerous as it has been since World War II” (Mecklin, 2018). Their headline reason

The Glass Half-Empty: Debunking the Myth of Progress in the Twenty-First Century

by Rodrigo Aguilera · 10 Mar 2020 · 356pp · 106,161 words

words (more pathetically, via Twitter), while Russian and NATO fighter jets crisscross their way through Syria in support of their respective dueling factions. But the Doomsday Clock, a metaphorical (and admittedly somewhat gimmicky) device conceived by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists in 1947 to show the risk of human extinction by nuclear

…

are not harnessed correctly, which is virtually guaranteed if they are developed for profit rather than a more sustainable form of human progress. The 2017 Doomsday Clock statement made this point, reinforcing the argument made in Chapter One that institutions need to be ahead of the curb in addressing potential threats: Technological

The Age of Radiance: The Epic Rise and Dramatic Fall of the Atomic Era

by Craig Nelson · 25 Mar 2014 · 684pp · 188,584 words

, and that armed conflict with the Soviet Union, likely nuclear, was certain. For thirty years, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists was published with a doomsday clock set at minutes to midnight; in 1960, C. P. Snow called atomic war a mathematical certainty, and many others, including Albert Einstein, had a similar

The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined

by Steven Pinker · 24 Sep 2012 · 1,351pp · 385,579 words

to “inform the public and influence policy through in-depth analyses, op-eds, and reports on nuclear weapons.” Since 1947 it has published the famous Doomsday Clock, a measure of “how close humanity is to catastrophic destruction—the figurative midnight.” The clock was unveiled with its minute hand pointing at 7 minutes

…

more historically significant than their remaining differences. IS THE LONG PEACE A NUCLEAR PEACE? What went right? How is it that, in defiance of experts, doomsday clocks, and centuries of European history, World War III never happened? What allowed distinguished military historians to use giddy phrases like “a change of spectacular proportions

…

information introduction of concept and nationalism dominance (cont.) and sadism and self-esteem and social identity as zero-sum game dominance hierarchy Dominica Donohue, John Doomsday Clock dopamine Dostoevsky, Fyodor Douglas, William O. Douglass, Frederick Dover Doctrine Dowd, Maureen Doyle, Arthur Conan Draco Draize procedure drones drugs: decriminalization of 1960s trafficking War