Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
by
Brian Christian
and
Tom Griffiths
Published 4 Apr 2016
the Copernican Principle emerges: This was shown by Gott, “Future Prospects Discussed,” in responding to Buch, “Future Prospects Discussed.” determining the number of tramcars: Jeffreys, Theory of Probability, §4.8. Jeffreys credits mathematician Max Newman for bringing the problem to his attention. sought to estimate the number of tanks: This has come to be known as the “German Tank Problem,” and has been documented in a number of sources. See, e.g., Gavyn Davies, “How a Statistical Formula won the War,” the Guardian, July 19, 2006, http://www.theguardian.com/world/2006/jul/20/secondworldwar.tvandradio. fruits in an orchard: For instance, the 2002 New Zealand Avocado Growers Association Annual Research Report found that “by April, fruit size profiles were normally distributed and remained so for the remainder of the monitored period.”
…
Fortune 500 list Frank, Robert Franklin, Benjamin Fredrickson, Barbara Fried, Jason full-information games optimal stopping and fundamental investors future, discounted Galileo gambling game theory gaming Gantt, Henry Gantt charts Gardner, Martin Gaskell, R. E. Gauss, Carl Friedrich Gelatt, Dan geography geometric discounting George, Sammy German tanks problem getting important things done getting things done Getting Things Done (Allen) Gettys, Jim Gigerenzer, Gerd Gilbert, Daniel Ginsberg, Allen Gittins, John Gittins index GiveDirectly Glassner, Barry Gleason, Andrew global maximum goals, explicit Godfather Godfather, The (film) Goethe, Johann Wolfgang von Goldstine, Herman “good enough” solutions Google Gopnik, Alison Gordon, Deborah Gott, J.
The Doomsday Calculation: How an Equation That Predicts the Future Is Transforming Everything We Know About Life and the Universe
by
William Poundstone
Published 3 Jun 2019
“Don’t assume an observation”: Leslie interview, January 17, 2018; see also Leslie 2010, 447. 12. Urn example: See Bostrom 2002, 97. 13. “Rational belief is constrained”: Bostrom 2002, 78. 14. Laplace as true originator: McGrayne 2011, 22–33. 15. 270, 276 tanks a month: See Wikipedia entry for the “German tank problem,” bit.ly/25O0xXE. A History of Grim Reckoning 1. “So I picked up the New York Times”: Gott interview, July 31, 2017. 2. “Copernican Cosmological Principle” in 1952 book: Bondi 1952. 3. “Copernicus taught us the very sound lesson”: Carter 1974. 4. Eddington’s fishnet example: Eddington 1939, 16–37. 5.