by Martin Wolf · 24 Nov 2015 · 524pp · 143,993 words
Martin Wolf THE SHIFTS AND THE SHOCKS What we’ve learned – and have still to learn – from the financial crisis Contents List of Figures Preface: Why I
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BOOK 1. Hyman P. Minsky, Inflation, Recession and Economic Policy (Brighton: Wheatsheaf, 1982), p. xi. 2. Martin Wolf, Fixing Global Finance (Baltimore and London: Johns Hopkins University Press and Yale University Press, 2008 and 2010). 3. Martin Wolf, Why Globalization Works (New Haven and London: Yale University Press, 2004), ch. 13. 4. The ‘great
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Institute, ‘Sovereign Wealth Fund Rankings’, http://www.swfinstitute.org/fund-rankings/. 9. The role of the global imbalances in the crisis was the theme of Martin Wolf, Fixing Global Finance (Baltimore and London: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2008 and 2010), especially ch. 8 of the revised edition. See also Òscar Jordà, Moritz
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the crisis, see Paulson, On the Brink, and Alistair Darling, Back from the Brink: 1,000 Days at Number 11 (London: Atlantic Books, 2011). 5. Martin Wolf, ‘Session 3 (Round Table) Financial Globalisation, Growth and Asset Prices’, in International Symposium: Globalisation, Inflation and Monetary Policy, Banque de France, March 2008, http://www
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for $2 a Share’, Financial Times, 16 March 2008. 12. Ben White, ‘Buoyant Bear Stearns Shrugs Off Subprime Woes’, Financial Times, 16 March 2007. 13. Martin Wolf, ‘The Rescue of Bear Stearns Marks Liberalisation’s Limit’, Financial Times, 25 March 2008. 14. Paulson, On the Brink, p. 170, and Krishna Guha, Chris
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2013, http://www.voxeu.org/article/when-time-austerity, provides a compelling analysis of the high cost of fiscal austerity in the UK. See also Martin Wolf, ‘How Austerity has Failed’, New York Review of Books, 11 July 2013, http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2013/jul/11/how-austerity-has-failed
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research, McKinsey Global Institute, January 2012, http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/mgi/research/financial_markets/uneven_progress_on_the_path_to_growth, p. 3. 60. Martin Wolf, ‘Mind the Gap: Perils of Forecasting Output’, Financial Times, 9 December 2011. 61. Irving Fisher, ‘The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions’, Econometrica (1933). 62
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’, 26–27 June 2010, http://www.g20.utoronto.ca/2010/to-communique.html. 68. Paul Samuelson, Economics, first edition (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1948). 69. Martin Wolf, ‘The Toxic Legacy of the Greek Crisis’, Financial Times, 18 June 2013, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b31dd248-d785-11e2-a26a-00144feab7de.html
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, ‘The Euro: Love it or Leave it?’, 4 May 2010, http://www.voxeu.org/article/eurozone-breakup-would-trigger-mother-all-financial-crises. See also Martin Wolf, ‘A Permanent Precedent’, Financial Times, 17 May 2012, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/614df5de-9ffe-11e1-94ba-00144feabdc0.html. 21. The term ‘Ordoliberalism
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de Grauwe, ‘The Governance of a Fragile Eurozone’, CEPS Working Documents, Economic Policy, 4 May 2011, http://www.ceps.eu/book/governance-fragile-Eurozone, and Martin Wolf, ‘Be Bold Mario, Put Out that Fire’, Financial Times, 25 October 2011, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/bd60ab78-fe6e-11e0-bac4-00144feabdc0.html
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.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1410072, p. 248. See also Raguram Rajan, ‘Bankers’ Pay is Deeply Flawed’, Financial Times, 9 January 2008, and Martin Wolf, ‘Why and How should we Regulate Pay in the Financial Sector?’, in Turner et al., The Future of Finance, ch. 9. 58. Adair Turner, The
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Chief Stays Bullish on Buy-outs’ Financial Times, 9 July 2007, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/80e2987a-2e50-11dc-821c-0000779fd2ac.html. 4. Martin Wolf, Fixing Global Finance (Baltimore and London: Johns Hopkins University Press and Yale University Press, 2010), especially ch. 8. 5. Herbert Stein, ‘Herb Stein’s Unfamiliar
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, founded under President William Jefferson Clinton, is distinct from the Council of Economic Advisers, founded in 1946 under President Harry Truman. 7. Lawrence Summers and Martin Wolf, ‘A Conversation on New Economic Thinking’, Bretton Woods Conference, Institute for New Economic Thinking, 8 April 2011, http://ineteconomics.org/video/bretton-woods/larry-summers
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-and-martin-wolf-new-economic-thinking. 8. Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, also stressed the intellectual debt of central bankers to the journalist, Walter Bagehot, in
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(New York: W. W. Norton, 2012). For a sceptical discussion of the argument that the UK’s pre-crisis level of output was unsustainable, see Martin Wolf, ‘How the Financial Crisis Changed Our World’, 2013 Wincott Memorial Lecture, http://www.wincott.co.uk/lectures/2013.html. 5. International Monetary Fund, ‘The Dog
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Taylor, ‘When is the Time for Austerity?’, 20 July 2013, Vox, http://www.voxeu.org/article/when-time-austerity. 22. These arguments were developed in Martin Wolf, ‘How Austerity has Failed’, The New York Review of Books, vol. LX, no. 12, 11 July–4 August 2013, pp. 20–22, http://www.nybooks
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Report 2012/2013, 23 June 2013, http://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2013e.htm. 27. See on this Martin Wolf, ‘The Role of Fiscal Deficits in De-leveraging’, 25 July 2012, http://blogs.ft.com/martin-wolf-exchange/2012/07/25/getting-out-of-debt-by-adding-debt. 28. Robert Kuttner, Debtors’ Prison: The
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, http://www.social-europe.eu/2014/03/german-constitutional-court. 10. O’Rourke and Taylor, ‘Cross of Euros’, p. 176. 11. This section draws from Martin Wolf, ‘Why the Baltic States are no Model’, Financial Times, 30 April 2013, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/090bd38e-b0c7-11e2-80f9-00144feabdc0.html
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. 12. Olivier Blanchard, ‘Lessons from Latvia’, 11 June 2013, http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org/2012/06/11/lessons-from-latvia. 13. This section draws from Martin Wolf, ‘The German Model is not for Export’, Financial Times, 7 May 2013, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/aacd1be0-b637-11e2-93ba-00144feabdc0.html
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-Driven Austerity in the Eurozone and its Implications’, 21 February 2013, http://www.voxeu.org/article/panic-driven-austerity-Eurozone-and-its-implications. See also Martin Wolf, ‘Be Bold, Mario, Put Out that Fire’, Financial Times, 25 October 2011, www.ft.com. 17. Alex Barker ‘Marathon Talks Seal EU Banking Union’, Financial
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and Oxford: Princeton University Press, 2013). 30. Mervyn King, ‘Banking from Bagehot to Basel, and Back Again’, pp. 16–17. 31. This is drawn from Martin Wolf, ‘Failing Elites Threaten our Future’, Financial Times, 14 January 2014, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cfc1eb1c-76d8-11e3-807e-00144feabdc0.html. References Abiad
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Be the New Normal’, 15 December 2013, Financial Times. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/87cb15ea-5d1a-11e3-a558-00144feabdc0.html. Summers, Lawrence and Martin Wolf. ‘A Conversation on New Economic Thinking’, Bretton Woods Conference, Institute for New Economic Thinking, 8 April 2011. http://ineteconomics.org/video/bretton-woods/larry-summers
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-and-martin-wolf-new-economic-thinking. Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and the Markets (London: Penguin, 2004). Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
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/cms/s/0/614df5de-9ffe-11e1-94ba-00144feabdc0.html. Wolf, Martin. ‘The Role of Fiscal Deficits in Deleveraging’, 25 July 2012. http://blogs.ft.com/martin-wolf-exchange/2012/07/25/getting-out-of-debt-by-adding-debt. Wolf, Martin. ‘Afterword: How the Financial Crises Have Changed the World’, in Robert C
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Avenue, Parktown North, Gauteng 2193, South Africa Penguin Books Ltd, Registered Offices: 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL, England www.penguin.com First published 2014 Copyright © Martin Wolf, 2014 The moral right of the author has been asserted Cover design by Keenan All rights reserved Typeset by Jouve (UK), Milton Keynes ISBN: 978
by Philip Coggan · 1 Jul 2025 · 96pp · 36,083 words
, cbo.gov/publication/61181 13 budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2025/5/19/house-reconciliation-bill-budget-economic-and-distributional-effects-may-19-2025 14 Martin Wolf, ‘The old global economic order is dead’, Financial Times, 6 May 2025, ft.com/content/49e38ee8-f37e-47da-8ee4-1631175d2224 15 Ana Swanson, ‘“Totally silly
by Vijay Joshi · 21 Feb 2017
Sullivan, Kamakshya Trivedi, Maya Tudor, Ravi Vaidya, John Vickers, David Vines, Bhaskar Vira, Arvind Virmani, Jessica Wallack, Michael Walton, Andrew Whitehead, John Williamson, Dominic Wilson, Martin Wolf, Ngaire Woods, Simon Wren-Lewis, and Yogendra Yadav. I have also learned a great deal from my participation in the highly stimulating India Policy Forum
by Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan · 8 Aug 2020 · 438pp · 84,256 words
for Business Taxation, Working Paper 2017/1. Reproduced with permission. 2In an article entitled ‘Rethink the purpose of the corporation’ (Financial Times, 12 December 2018), Martin Wolf criticises the mantra of shareholder value maximisation, affirming that in the cases of highly leveraged banking the Anglo American model of corporate governance does not
by John Lanchester · 14 Dec 2009 · 322pp · 77,341 words
print journalists did speak up in public about the risks building up and the vulnerability of the global financial system. Larry Elliott in The Guardian, Martin Wolf and Gillian Tett in the Financial Times, and even the often overly gung ho Economist all warned about the dangers—and had the satisfaction denied
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Peston at the BBC—Flanders and Peston have high-quality blogs, in addition to their old-media work; Philip Coggan, John Kay, Gillian Tett, and Martin Wolf at the Financial Times; Larry Elliott at The Guardian; and although as a Nobel Prize winner he is too grand to count, Paul Krugman at
by Stephen D. King · 22 May 2017 · 354pp · 92,470 words
such volumes are listed in the bibliography. Those who have offered me advice and inspiration in equal measure on the economic aspects of globalization include Martin Wolf, Gideon Rachman, George Magnus, Shamik Dhar, David Bloom, Simon Williams, Murat Ulgen, Robin Down and Simon Wells. I also owe a debt of gratitude to
by Andrew Jackson (economist) and Ben Dyson (economist) · 15 Nov 2012 · 363pp · 107,817 words
, such concerns have been sidelined. Yet these concerns are becoming more widespread that ever before, with even the chief economics commentator for the Financial Times, Martin Wolf, expressing the view that: “It is the normal monetary system, in which the ‘printing’ of money is delegated to commercial banks, that needs defending. This
by Callum Williams · 19 May 2020 · 288pp · 89,781 words
.9 Historians have noted that under the watchful eye of Colbert there was a clear change in French government policy from what had come before. Martin Wolfe, for instance, finds little evidence of high import tariffs in Renaissance France. By the 17th century that had decisively changed. “The famous mercantilist principle of
by Paul Collier · 6 Aug 2024 · 299pp · 92,766 words
theory: a theory of choice under radical uncertainty’, in Behavior and Brain Sciences, 46, 1–26. 10 The sense of crisis is well captured by Martin Wolf in The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism (2023). The stand-out instance of overconfidence is the Truss–Kwarteng faith in the Panglossian omniscience of financial markets
by Kevin Mellyn · 18 Jun 2012 · 183pp · 17,571 words
they owe money. The ants and grasshoppers are, in fact, dependent on each other. The formal term global imbalance—a topic that sage economic commentator Martin Wolf often returns to in the pages of the Financial Times as a core threat to global prosperity—is largely one of too much saving in
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