cognitive bias
description: systematic pattern of deviation from norm or rationality in judgment due to subjective perception of reality
131 results
Thinking, Fast and Slow
by Daniel Kahneman · 24 Oct 2011 · 654pp · 191,864 words
prime example of a more general above-average effect. However, the interpretation of the finding has changed in recent years, from self-aggrandizement to a cognitive bias. Consider these two questions: Are you a good driver? Are you better than average as a driver? The first question is easy and the answer
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): 20–43. “engage in earnings management”: Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate, “Superstar CEOs,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 24 (2009), 1593–1638. self-aggrandizement to a cognitive bias: Paul D. Windschitl, Jason P. Rose, Michael T. Stalk-fleet, and Andrew R. Smith, “Are People Excessive or Judicious in Their Egocentrism? A Modeling Approach
The Intelligence Trap: Revolutionise Your Thinking and Make Wiser Decisions
by David Robson · 7 Mar 2019 · 417pp · 103,458 words
saw their accuracy slowly climbing over the course of the tournament. The participants also responded to specific lessons. An hour-long online course to recognise cognitive bias, for instance, improved the forecasters’ estimates by around 10 per cent over the following year. Often, the simplest way to avoid bias was to start
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., Kornfield, I., Krane, D., Saks, M. and Risinger, M. (2015), ‘Letter to the Editor ? Context Management Toolbox: A Linear Sequential Unmasking (LSU) Approach for Minimizing Cognitive Bias in Forensic Decision Making’, Journal of Forensic Sciences, 60(4), 1111?12. Chapter 4 1 Brown, B. (2012), ‘Hot, Hot, Hot: The Summer of 1787
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-rich-too-famous-too-much-ego-joe-hart-epitomises-everything-that-is-a7106591.html. 22 Roberto, M.A. (2002), ‘Lessons From Everest: The Interaction of Cognitive Bias, Psychological Safety, and System Complexity’, California Management Review, 45(1), 136?58. 23 https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/everest/stories/leadership.html. 24
Engineering Security
by Peter Gutmann
to mentally create order out of chaos (which is quite contrary to what humans do physically, particularly the “children” subclass of humans) is a known cognitive bias, in this case something called the clustering illusion. The term “clustering illusion” actually comes from statistics and describes the phenomenon whereby random distributions appear to
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that they have to come up with an alternative explanation for an event. This is also one of the techniques used to try to combat cognitive bias that was mentioned in the discussion of the CIA analyst training manual in “Confirmation Bias and other Cognitive Biases” on page 145. (Unfortunately this type
The Master and His Emissary: The Divided Brain and the Making of the Western World
by Iain McGilchrist · 8 Oct 2012
, Nourrit et Cie., Paris, 1893 ——, Œuvres littéraires, ed. É. Faure, Crès et Cie., Paris, 1923 Deldin, P. J., Keller, J., Gergen, J. A. et al., ‘Cognitive bias and emotion in neuropsychological models of depression’, Cognition and Emotion, 2001, 15(6), pp. 787–802 Delis, D. C., Kiefner, M. G. & Fridlund, A. J
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stimulus: a reinterpretation of Libet’s data’, Consciousness and Cognition, 2002, 11(2), pp. 144–61 Podell, K., Lovell, M., Zimmerman, M. et al., ‘The Cognitive Bias Task and lateralized frontal lobe functions in males’, Journal of Neuropsychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences, 1995, 7(4), pp. 491–501 Poincaré, H., ‘La création mathématique
Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress
by Steven Pinker · 13 Feb 2018 · 1,034pp · 241,773 words
, S., Stevens, S., Anglin, S., et al. 2017. Political bias. Best Practices in Science. https://bps.stanford.edu/?page_id=3371. Kahan, D. M. 2012. Cognitive bias and the constitution of the liberal republic of science. Yale Law School, Public Law Working Paper 270. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract
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and Great Escape from poverty, 90–91, 364 unbridled/unregulated/untrammeled, 364 See also commerce; economic inequality; economics capital punishment abolition of, 208–213, 209 cognitive bias study referencing, 359–60 homosexual behavior criminalized, 223 Capp, Al, 297 Caracas, Venezuela, 172 carbon tax, 139, 145–6, 149 Carey, John, 247 Caribbean countries
Deep Medicine: How Artificial Intelligence Can Make Healthcare Human Again
by Eric Topol · 1 Jan 2019 · 424pp · 114,905 words
among both patients and physicians that medications, and in particular very expensive ones, will have remarkable efficacy. When doctors prescribe any medication, they have a cognitive bias that it will work. Patients, too, believe the medicine will work. From an enormous body of randomized clinical trials, patients assigned to the placebo arm
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on past experiences (first described by Tversky and Kahneman). Patterns of thinking such as the representativeness heuristic are an example of the widespread problem of cognitive bias among physicians. Humans in general are beset by many biases—Wikipedia lists 185, for example—but I want to highlight only a few of those
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were influenced by a bias to believe that they were highly skilled and so wouldn’t be inducing heart attacks in their patients. Here the cognitive bias of doctors was influenced by their own relatively limited clinical experience and their failure to systematically look for evidence. Rule-based thinking can also lead
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error, but we as a society don’t bat an eye at the situation.62 The introduction of computers into the mix sets up a cognitive bias, not acknowledging the net benefit. When a self-driving car kills a person, there’s an outcry over the dangers of self-driving cars. The
Designing the Mind: The Principles of Psychitecture
by Designing The Mind and Ryan A Bush · 10 Jan 2021
will learn to terraform it into a truly habitable, delightful place for its sole inhabitant. Chapter 2: Cognitive Biases and How to Rewire Them Understanding Cognitive Bias Dogmatism is the greatest of mental obstacles to human happiness. - Bertrand Russell, The Conquest of Happiness We begin our psychitectural journey in the cognitive realm
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life. You need to build the habit of noticing these situations, which is largely a function of metacognitive awareness. Mindfulness has been found to decrease cognitive bias by bringing deliberate attention to otherwise habitual cognitive patterns.15 Being aware of times when you might be particularly prone to mistakes, such as when
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the opportunity to step in, design a counter-algorithm, and rewire the bias, which we call cognitive revision. Daniel Kahneman, a psychologist and pioneer in cognitive bias research, suggests a workaround for this particular bias: Using such distributional information from other ventures similar to that being forecasted is called taking an 'outside
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://doi.org/10.1037/abn0000504. Alexander Alvarez, “Destructive Beliefs: Genocide and the Role of Ideology,” 2008. “Cognitive Bias,” in Wikipedia, November 24, 2020, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cognitive_bias&oldid=990416478. Buster Benson, “Cognitive Bias Cheat Sheet, Simplified,” Medium, April 2, 2019, https://medium.com/thinking-is-hard/4-conundrums-of-intelligence
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, no. 9 (November 1, 2000): 1142–50, https://doi.org/10.1177/01461672002611010. Martie G. Haselton, Daniel Nettle, and Paul W. Andrews, “The Evolution of Cognitive Bias,” in The Handbook of Evolutionary Psychology (John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, 2015), 724–46, https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470939376.ch25. Małgorzata Kossowska, Aneta Czernatowicz-Kukuczka
Singularity Rising: Surviving and Thriving in a Smarter, Richer, and More Dangerous World
by James D. Miller · 14 Jun 2012 · 377pp · 97,144 words
might have an irrationally high opinion of trait X. Lots of Singularitarians have extremely high measured intelligence. Hanson thinks that some futurists also have a cognitive bias toward expecting “an unrealistic degree of [self-sufficiency] or independence.” 348 For most of mankind’s existence, we lived in small, autonomous hunter-gatherer tribes
Split-Second Persuasion: The Ancient Art and New Science of Changing Minds
by Kevin Dutton · 3 Feb 2011 · 338pp · 100,477 words
lock.’ Be Happy, Don’t Worry Over the past few years, MacLeod has been at the forefront of a brand new form of therapy called Cognitive Bias Modification (CBM) which, if it works (and the early signs are good), could completely redefine the limits of persuasion. As a post-doc back in
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than they are when it appears in a neutral position – a disparity not found among the non-anxious. Anxious individuals, in other words, have a cognitive bias towards threat. 11Recently, MacLeod has been thinking in a different way about the dot probe paradigm. At the outset, as we’ve just seen, the
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Belief, Disbelief, and Uncertainty.’ Annals of Neurology, 63(2) (2008): 141–147. For a comprehensive review of the cognitive bias modification literature see MacLeod, Colin., Koster, Ernst H. W. and Fox, Elaine, ‘Whither Cognitive Bias Modification Research? Commentary on the Special Section Articles.’ Journal of Abnormal Psychology 118 (2009): 89–99. 10 MacLeod has
Thinking in Bets
by Annie Duke · 6 Feb 2018 · 288pp · 81,253 words
(March 1999): 255–75. Lerner, Jennifer, and Philip Tetlock. “Bridging Individual, Interpersonal, and Institutional Approaches to Judgment and Decision Making: The Impact of Accountability on Cognitive Bias.” In Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research, edited by Sandra Schneider and James Shanteau, 431–57. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003. Letterman, David. The
The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter
by Joseph Henrich · 27 Oct 2015 · 631pp · 177,227 words
The Truth About Lies: The Illusion of Honesty and the Evolution of Deceit
by Aja Raden · 10 May 2021 · 291pp · 85,822 words
Architects of Intelligence
by Martin Ford · 16 Nov 2018 · 586pp · 186,548 words
Infotopia: How Many Minds Produce Knowledge
by Cass R. Sunstein · 23 Aug 2006
How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors Behind Every Successful Project, From Home Renovations to Space Exploration
by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner · 16 Feb 2023 · 353pp · 97,029 words
The Moral Landscape: How Science Can Determine Human Values
by Sam Harris · 5 Oct 2010 · 412pp · 115,266 words
Rationality: From AI to Zombies
by Eliezer Yudkowsky · 11 Mar 2015 · 1,737pp · 491,616 words
Transport for Humans: Are We Nearly There Yet?
by Pete Dyson and Rory Sutherland · 15 Jan 2021 · 342pp · 72,927 words
The Big Nine: How the Tech Titans and Their Thinking Machines Could Warp Humanity
by Amy Webb · 5 Mar 2019 · 340pp · 97,723 words
The Organized Mind: Thinking Straight in the Age of Information Overload
by Daniel J. Levitin · 18 Aug 2014 · 685pp · 203,949 words
New Dark Age: Technology and the End of the Future
by James Bridle · 18 Jun 2018 · 301pp · 85,263 words
Imaginable: How to See the Future Coming and Feel Ready for Anything―Even Things That Seem Impossible Today
by Jane McGonigal · 22 Mar 2022 · 420pp · 135,569 words
Spies, Lies, and Algorithms: The History and Future of American Intelligence
by Amy B. Zegart · 6 Nov 2021
The Geek Way: The Radical Mindset That Drives Extraordinary Results
by Andrew McAfee · 14 Nov 2023 · 381pp · 113,173 words
How to Talk to a Science Denier: Conversations With Flat Earthers, Climate Deniers, and Others Who Defy Reason
by Lee McIntyre · 14 Sep 2021 · 407pp · 108,030 words
Reinventing Capitalism in the Age of Big Data
by Viktor Mayer-Schönberger and Thomas Ramge · 27 Feb 2018 · 267pp · 72,552 words
The Personal MBA: A World-Class Business Education in a Single Volume
by Josh Kaufman · 2 Feb 2011 · 624pp · 127,987 words
Global Catastrophic Risks
by Nick Bostrom and Milan M. Cirkovic · 2 Jul 2008
You Are Now Less Dumb: How to Conquer Mob Mentality, How to Buy Happiness, and All the Other Ways to Outsmart Yourself
by David McRaney · 29 Jul 2013 · 280pp · 90,531 words
The Singularity Is Nearer: When We Merge with AI
by Ray Kurzweil · 25 Jun 2024
On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything
by Nate Silver · 12 Aug 2024 · 848pp · 227,015 words
The Age of the Infovore: Succeeding in the Information Economy
by Tyler Cowen · 25 May 2010 · 254pp · 72,929 words
Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War
by Paul Scharre · 23 Apr 2018 · 590pp · 152,595 words
You Are Not So Smart
by David McRaney · 20 Sep 2011 · 270pp · 83,506 words
Don't Even Think About It: Why Our Brains Are Wired to Ignore Climate Change
by George Marshall · 18 Aug 2014 · 298pp · 85,386 words
The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy: Superintelligent AI and the Geeks Who Are Trying to Save Humanity's Future
by Tom Chivers · 12 Jun 2019 · 289pp · 92,714 words
Wait: The Art and Science of Delay
by Frank Partnoy · 15 Jan 2012 · 342pp · 94,762 words
Willful: How We Choose What We Do
by Richard Robb · 12 Nov 2019 · 202pp · 58,823 words
Don't Trust Your Gut: Using Data to Get What You Really Want in LIfe
by Seth Stephens-Davidowitz · 9 May 2022 · 287pp · 69,655 words
The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing
by Michael J. Mauboussin · 14 Jul 2012 · 299pp · 92,782 words
The Transhumanist Reader
by Max More and Natasha Vita-More · 4 Mar 2013 · 798pp · 240,182 words
Black Box Thinking: Why Most People Never Learn From Their Mistakes--But Some Do
by Matthew Syed · 3 Nov 2015 · 410pp · 114,005 words
The Half-Life of Facts: Why Everything We Know Has an Expiration Date
by Samuel Arbesman · 31 Aug 2012 · 284pp · 79,265 words
Quantitative Value: A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors
by Wesley R. Gray and Tobias E. Carlisle · 29 Nov 2012 · 263pp · 75,455 words
Our Final Invention: Artificial Intelligence and the End of the Human Era
by James Barrat · 30 Sep 2013 · 294pp · 81,292 words
The Unpersuadables: Adventures With the Enemies of Science
by Will Storr · 1 Jan 2013 · 476pp · 134,735 words
Why Buddhism is True
by Robert Wright
The Science of Fear: How the Culture of Fear Manipulates Your Brain
by Daniel Gardner · 23 Jun 2009 · 542pp · 132,010 words
The Willpower Instinct: How Self-Control Works, Why It Matters, and What You Can Doto Get More of It
by Kelly McGonigal · 1 Dec 2011 · 354pp · 91,875 words
Lost in Math: How Beauty Leads Physics Astray
by Sabine Hossenfelder · 11 Jun 2018 · 340pp · 91,416 words
Seeking SRE: Conversations About Running Production Systems at Scale
by David N. Blank-Edelman · 16 Sep 2018
Warnings
by Richard A. Clarke · 10 Apr 2017 · 428pp · 121,717 words
The Righteous Mind: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion
by Jonathan Haidt · 13 Mar 2012 · 539pp · 139,378 words
Mindf*ck: Cambridge Analytica and the Plot to Break America
by Christopher Wylie · 8 Oct 2019
The Glass Half-Empty: Debunking the Myth of Progress in the Twenty-First Century
by Rodrigo Aguilera · 10 Mar 2020 · 356pp · 106,161 words
Survival of the Friendliest: Understanding Our Origins and Rediscovering Our Common Humanity
by Brian Hare and Vanessa Woods · 13 Jul 2020
Machine, Platform, Crowd: Harnessing Our Digital Future
by Andrew McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson · 26 Jun 2017 · 472pp · 117,093 words
To Save Everything, Click Here: The Folly of Technological Solutionism
by Evgeny Morozov · 15 Nov 2013 · 606pp · 157,120 words
Heart of the Machine: Our Future in a World of Artificial Emotional Intelligence
by Richard Yonck · 7 Mar 2017 · 360pp · 100,991 words
Systematic Trading: A Unique New Method for Designing Trading and Investing Systems
by Robert Carver · 13 Sep 2015
More Everything Forever: AI Overlords, Space Empires, and Silicon Valley's Crusade to Control the Fate of Humanity
by Adam Becker · 14 Jun 2025 · 381pp · 119,533 words
Fluke: Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do Matters
by Brian Klaas · 23 Jan 2024 · 250pp · 96,870 words
The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming
by David Wallace-Wells · 19 Feb 2019 · 343pp · 101,563 words
Brave New Work: Are You Ready to Reinvent Your Organization?
by Aaron Dignan · 1 Feb 2019 · 309pp · 81,975 words
Artificial Unintelligence: How Computers Misunderstand the World
by Meredith Broussard · 19 Apr 2018 · 245pp · 83,272 words
The Norm Chronicles
by Michael Blastland · 14 Oct 2013
The Price of Tomorrow: Why Deflation Is the Key to an Abundant Future
by Jeff Booth · 14 Jan 2020 · 180pp · 55,805 words
Choose Yourself!
by James Altucher · 14 Sep 2013 · 230pp · 76,655 words
The Crux
by Richard Rumelt · 27 Apr 2022 · 363pp · 109,834 words
The Aristocracy of Talent: How Meritocracy Made the Modern World
by Adrian Wooldridge · 2 Jun 2021 · 693pp · 169,849 words
Everydata: The Misinformation Hidden in the Little Data You Consume Every Day
by John H. Johnson · 27 Apr 2016 · 250pp · 64,011 words
Exponential Organizations: Why New Organizations Are Ten Times Better, Faster, and Cheaper Than Yours (And What to Do About It)
by Salim Ismail and Yuri van Geest · 17 Oct 2014 · 292pp · 85,151 words
Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics
by Francis Fukuyama · 27 Aug 2007
The New Jim Crow: Mass Incarceration in the Age of Colorblindness
by Michelle Alexander · 24 Nov 2011 · 467pp · 116,902 words
The Genius Within: Unlocking Your Brain's Potential
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The Soul of Wealth
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SUPERHUBS: How the Financial Elite and Their Networks Rule Our World
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by Steffen Mau · 12 Jun 2017 · 254pp · 69,276 words
The Great Economists Ten Economists whose thinking changed the way we live-FT Publishing International (2014)
by Phil Thornton · 7 May 2014
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by F. Perry Wilson · 24 Jan 2023 · 286pp · 92,521 words
What's Next?: Unconventional Wisdom on the Future of the World Economy
by David Hale and Lyric Hughes Hale · 23 May 2011 · 397pp · 112,034 words
The Hidden Half: How the World Conceals Its Secrets
by Michael Blastland · 3 Apr 2019 · 290pp · 82,871 words
Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist
by Kate Raworth · 22 Mar 2017 · 403pp · 111,119 words
Big Mistakes: The Best Investors and Their Worst Investments
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Logically Fallacious: The Ultimate Collection of Over 300 Logical Fallacies (Academic Edition)
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Together
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Decoding the World: A Roadmap for the Questioner
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When Computers Can Think: The Artificial Intelligence Singularity
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Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World
by David Epstein · 1 Mar 2019 · 406pp · 109,794 words
What's Wrong With Economics: A Primer for the Perplexed
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The Road to Ruin: The Global Elites' Secret Plan for the Next Financial Crisis
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The Secret Barrister: Stories of the Law and How It's Broken
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Richard Dawkins: How a Scientist Changed the Way We Think
by Alan Grafen; Mark Ridley · 1 Jan 2006 · 286pp · 90,530 words
SuperFreakonomics
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Lean Analytics: Use Data to Build a Better Startup Faster
by Alistair Croll and Benjamin Yoskovitz · 1 Mar 2013 · 567pp · 122,311 words
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by Chris Voss and Tahl Raz · 3 Oct 1989 · 310pp · 82,592 words
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Power
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Hooked: How to Build Habit-Forming Products
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Aurora
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Against Intellectual Monopoly
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