Gambling Man
by Lionel Barber · 3 Oct 2024 · 424pp · 123,730 words
dealmaking record a scan, and he starts to look more like he’s marching into Moscow in mid-September.’17 Masa, however, was betting on first-mover advantage. ‘In this industry, the first mover, the pioneer, very often gets a big success,’ he said, rattling off his list of American favourites, AOL, Cisco
Our Dollar, Your Problem: An Insider’s View of Seven Turbulent Decades of Global Finance, and the Road Ahead
by Kenneth Rogoff · 27 Feb 2025 · 330pp · 127,791 words
connected with dollar dominance? One perspective is that the United States benefited from not being a battleground in World War II, thereby gaining a giant first-mover advantage in the global economy. On top of that, the post-war Bretton Woods exchange rate system helped enshrine the United States at the center of
The Wide Lens: What Successful Innovators See That Others Miss
by Ron Adner · 1 Mar 2012 · 265pp · 70,788 words
, Nokia entered the fray to deliver the first 3G handset to the European market. It believed its competition with Ericsson was a classic race for first-mover advantage: that operators and customers would embrace the first quality device to market. But focused as they were on executing better than their competition, they were
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. At first glance, it defies logic. In 1979, Sony’s pioneering Walkman, the world’s first portable cassette player, was able to benefit from a first-mover advantage that lasted over thirty years. However, with the same customer set and value proposition, the world’s first portable MP3 player, SaeHan’s MPMan, introduced
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in Japan) in a space teeming with competitors, even as it enjoyed a price premium of approximately $20 over rival offers. Showcasing the power of first-mover advantage, Sony’s pioneering technology set the benchmark for everything that came after it. And the media’s hyperfocus on the Walkman meant that followers were
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market, delivered the product, embraced the right file format, and did it all before the competition. But unlike Sony, it did not enjoy a first-mover advantage. Why was first-mover advantage so large in the portable music player industry in one technology generation but completely absent in another? First, we must ask: what does it
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advantaged. We can better understand the relationship between entry timing and advantage by using the First-mover Matrix (see figure 6.1). The debate about first-mover advantage has hinged on the likelihood that the early mover enters the market with the right product. In our terminology, the focus has been on execution
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draw conclusions about the industry. When Do Early Movers Win? The tool manufacturers and their partners have a deeply held belief in the power of first-mover advantage. And the classic product-based indicators all suggest it should be high: there is a lot of coordination with customers and industry organizations like SEMATECH
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to be sold for many years, it is clear that the stakes are high. And it is assuring to see that the industry belief in first-mover advantage is fully supported in the baseline scenario. When execution challenge is high and co-innovation challenge is low (quadrant 2), early movers are at an
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even greater advantage: a three-year head start yields a 6 percent market share advantage to the pioneer. Here, the belief in first-mover advantage is on even sounder footing. The most intriguing finding, however, is the one that corresponds to the low execution challenge/high complementor co-innovation challenge
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these findings are powerful. What they reveal is that it is fundamentally wrong to think about first-mover advantage as a fixed characteristic of an industry—any industry, including your own. Instead, we see that the extent of first-mover advantage depends on the nature of challenges in the ecosystem. When development efforts are accelerated, costs
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price for the attempt. Wise innovators will locate the nature of their endeavor on the first-mover matrix and adjust their speed accordingly. Aggressively pursuing first-mover advantage makes most sense when the innovator’s execution challenges are high. This is the occasion for greater efforts because this is the time of greater
Originals: How Non-Conformists Move the World
by Adam Grant · 2 Feb 2016 · 410pp · 101,260 words
reveals. “Timing accounted for forty-two percent of the difference between success and failure.” Research shows that in American culture, people believe strongly in a first-mover advantage. We want to be leaders, not followers. Scientists rush to make discoveries ahead of their rivals; inventors hurry to apply for patents before their adversaries
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marketing researcher Lisa Bolton summarizes, “Although first movers face some advantages in particular industries, the academic research remains mixed and does not support an overall first-mover advantage.” If you’re someone who’s tempted to rush into a new domain, this knowledge should stop you cold and leave you thinking carefully about
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the ideal timing. But Bolton finds something frightening: even when people learn that evidence doesn’t support the first-mover advantage, they still believe in it. It’s easier to think of pioneers that succeeded; the failed ones are long forgotten, so we assume they’re
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rare. The best way to shatter the myth of the first-mover advantage is to ask people to generate reasons for first-mover disadvantage. In your experience, what are the four biggest drawbacks of being a pioneer? Settlers
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we all wait for others to act, nothing original will ever be created. Someone has to be the pioneer, and sometimes that will pay off. First-mover advantages tend to prevail when patented technology is involved, or when there are strong network effects (the product or service becomes more valuable when there are
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2015, www.ted.com/talks/bill_gross_the_single_biggest_reason_why_startups_succeed/transcript. a first-mover advantage: Lisa E. Bolton, “Believing in First Mover Advantage,” manuscript under review. These edges create barriers: Marvin B. Lieberman and David B. Montgomery, “First-Mover Advantages,” Strategic Management Journal 9 (1988): 41–58; Montgomery and Lieberman, “First-Mover (Dis)advantages: Retrospective
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Life Insurance (New York: William Morrow, 2009). “A new scientific truth”: Max Planck, Scientific Autobiography and Other Papers (New York: Philosophical Library, 1949). First-mover advantages: Marvin B. Lieberman, “Did First-Mover Advantages Survive the Dot-Com Crash?,” Anderson School of Management working paper (2007). odds of success aren’t higher: Pieter A. VanderWerf and John
Against Intellectual Monopoly
by Michele Boldrin and David K. Levine · 6 Jul 2008 · 607pp · 133,452 words
rest of the industry is producing. So, too, the other industry players will probably not rush to aid you in your lack of understanding. The First-Mover Advantage Competitive rents are the least amount that an innovator can expect to earn in conditions of competition. Because the innovator initially is the only one
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to know the idea, there are many ways to profit from this first-mover advantage. As remarkable as the phenomenon of economists who believe that ideas are transmitted freely, while writing a voluminous literature on technology transfer and the cost
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of information, is the other phenomenon of economists who believe that innovators have no first-mover advantage, while writing a voluminous literature on the strategic advantages of being first. These strategic advantages are well documented: Fudenberg and Tirole’s text P1: KNP
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couldn’t copy my mind, And I left ’em sweating and stealing a year and a half behind.10 The most striking implications of the first-mover advantage, may, however, lie elsewhere. They are captured by the observation first made by Jack Hirshleifer, that the innovator, by virtue of inside information, may be
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an incentive-compatible mechanism, and what a pundit would call a win-win situation. The secret would have substantial value, as Ford would enjoy a first-mover advantage. As long as Mr. Kamen asked for less than the full value of the invention to Ford, Ford would be happy to pay, for if
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sure to enforce competition, among innovators but also among not-so-innovative producers of old goods, such as cars – and shoes. Quantifying the First-Mover Advantage How strong the first-mover advantage is depends on whether profits are earned from venues in which duplication is difficult or venues in which profits can be earned quickly. When
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the first-mover advantage is strong, the economic rationale for protection is weak, because most worthwhile works will be produced in the absence of intellectual monopoly. Lobbyists from the
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industry, have been quite adamant about the need for protection of their intellectual property. So, it is worth taking a look at how strong the first-mover advantage is in these industries. In the case of movies, prior to the advent of the VCR in the mid-1970s, the bulk of film revenue
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. So, some consumers at least are willing to pay $1 extra to have a book delivered twenty-four hours sooner. This is obviously a substantial first-mover advantage. Indeed, for books, we do find that up-front profits are typically the most important. Eric Flint reports that the “standard experience is that 80
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that began in 2001 became more severe, and Liebowitz estimates that in the long-run sales will fall by 20 percent.15 Complementary Sales Another first-mover advantage, for creative works especially, is the well-documented and strong preference for originals, signed copies, and early versions that are in scarce supply over more
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as by way of public appearances, Torvalds is nevertheless a millionaire today. Ultimately, no academic work can do more than scratch the surface of the first-mover advantage: it is limited only by human ingenuity, an area in which academic economists have no special advantage. For example, profits can be made by escrowing
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marginal cost only in the absence of capacity constraints – and, as we just argued at length, the rents generated by capacity constraints along with other first-mover advantages can and do lead to thriving innovation. Pricing at marginal cost is a prediction for the long run, which applies only once capacity constraints are
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and creations – but without the intervention of government-enforced intellectual monopolies. As the size of the market expands, both competitive rents and the profit from first-mover advantage will generally increase proportionally – meaning that most economically useful ideas will be produced even in the absence of intellectual monopoly. The consequences of increasing market
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one year to enter after innovation. Also on the basis of data about competition between generic and nongeneric drugs after patent expiration, they attribute a first-mover advantage to the innovator by assuming that the innovator will be able to charge the monopoly price and still serve 20 percent of the market. In
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economic theorist living inside us must contemplate also these possibilities. Without government grants of monopoly or enforcement of monopolistic contracts, innovators by virtue of their first-mover advantage will generally have some monopoly power. There are government policies that can be used to combat even this ephemeral monopoly. For example, at the lesser
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. R. Porter et al., 854. New York: Cambridge University Press. Tirole, J. (1988), The Theory of Industrial Organization. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Tufano, P. (1989), “First-Mover Advantages in Financial Innovation,” Journal of Financial Economics 3, 350–70. Tufano, P. (2003), “Financial Innovation,” in The Handbook of the Economics of Finance, ed. G
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amendment, DMCA’s threats to, England 112–113. See also freedom, intellectual classical music in, 187–188 property’s threat to coloring industry in, 88 first-mover advantage, 137–141, 144, 174 Statute of Anne, 30, 44, 187 fixed cost, reduction of by technology, Statute of Monopolies, 43–44, 64 176 entertainment. See
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Hatch-Waxman Act, 212, 215 developed out of piracy, 33–34 health care, cost of, 232 and fears of intellectual colonization, 38 Hirshleifer, Jack, 138 first-mover advantage in, 140–141 history, effect of intellectual property on, pornography compared to “legitimate” 263–264 industry, 38–39 Hong, S., 203, 204 videotapes, 88 Hornblower
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information goods, 176. See also digital intellectual property law as right to goods control, 157 innovation. See also creativity; emigration; limited capacity of, 132–133 first-mover advantage as rivalrous and excludable, 156–157 and abolition of patents, 186 selling of, 125 in agriculture, 52, 79 and social welfare, 85 under competition, 47
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profits, 6 subsidies for, 260–261 vs. ordinary property, 123–124 and Total Factor Productivity (TFP), 54 overuse argument for, 177–179 innovators. See also first-mover advantage; in poor and developing countries, innovation; producers 247–248 and promise of large initial rents, 132–133 and R&D as fraction of GDP, 195
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LLC, 74–75 earnings of musicians, 105–106 Patent Act of 1790, 45 fears of intellectual colonization, 38 patent law. See also intellectual property law first-mover advantage in, 141–142 changes made by judges, 57, 58 impact of Napster on CD sales, 142 extended to financial securities, 58 and MP3 format, 88
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“pizzaright” test, 150 encryption of ebooks, 35–36 Plant Patent Act of 1930, 53 and expansion of copyright law, 98–99 plants. See also agriculture first-mover advantage in, 141 Plant Variety Protection Act (PVPA), 79 French, 31 Popov, Aleksander, 203 Google Print, 89–90 pornographic industry compared to “legitimate” industry, 38–39
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Encryption Rent Seeking and Taxes Notes SIX How Competition Works The Fruits of the Idea Tree Fixed Costs and Competition Indivisibility The Collaborative Advantage The First-Mover Advantage �� �� Ideas of Uncertain Value The Social Value of Imitation Notes SEVEN Defenses of Intellectual Monopoly Private Property and Public Goods Economic Arguments for Intellectual Monopoly
The AI-First Company
by Ash Fontana · 4 May 2021 · 296pp · 66,815 words
the data—then building that workflow product and giving it away for free to get the data could more deeply embed the AI-First product. First-Mover Advantage Getting to market first is a way to build a competitive advantage, albeit one that’s debated in the field of management strategy. However, it
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used to train an AI. Support complements. Third parties can create complementary products that contribute data to an ecosystem, ultimately delivering more value to customers. First-mover advantage works well for AI-First companies. The pros are powerful, and the cons don’t apply. Accumulating data before competitors do kicks off the DLE
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aggregated data, 81, 83 aggregating advantages, 222–65 branding and, 255–56 data aggregation and, 241–45 on demand side, 225 disruption and, 239–41 first-mover advantage and, 253–55 and integrating incumbents, 244–45 and leveraging the loop against incumbents, 256–61 positioning and, 245–56 ecosystem, 251–53 staging, 249
Smartcuts: How Hackers, Innovators, and Icons Accelerate Success
by Shane Snow · 8 Sep 2014 · 278pp · 70,416 words
first mover is not much of an advantage in business either. A DECADE AFTER LIEBERMAN and Montgomery convinced the business world of the phenomenon of first-mover advantage, they qualified their conclusions, saying, “Pioneers often miss the best opportunities, which are obscured by technological and market uncertainties. In effect, early entrants may acquire
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://www.europeanbusinessreview.com/?p=8420 (accessed February 17, 2014). 112 enjoy an unfair advantage over their competitors: The seminal paper on first-mover advantage was Marvin B. Lieberman, and David B. Montgomery, “First-Mover Advantages,” Strategic Management Journal, no. 9 (1988): 41–58. Lieberman and Montgomery revisited and amended their claims ten years later in “First
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,” American Psychologist 64, no. 6 (September 2009): 515–26, as well as William P. Barnett, Mi Feng, and Xaioqu Luo, “Social Identity, Market Memory, and First-Mover Advantage,” Industrial and Corporate Change 22, no. 3 (2012): 585. 116 Fast followers, on the other hand: Reasons for the second-wave advantage were proposed by
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old technology may favor the fast follower that is not burdened with such investments,” write Roger A. Kerin, P. Rajan Varadarajan, and Robert A. Peterson, “First-Mover Advantage: A Synthesis, Conceptual Framework, and Research Propositions,” Journal of Marketing 56, no. 4 (1992): 33–52. “Later entrants’ access to relatively newer cost-efficient technologies
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2003). Anderson, John Lee. Che Guevara: A Revolutionary Life. Grove Press, 1997. Barnett, William P., Mi Feng, and Xaioqu Luo. “Social Identity, Market Memory, and First-Mover Advantage.” Industrial and Corporate Change 22, no. 3 (2012): 585. Baron, Robert A. “Opportunity Recognition as Pattern Recognition: How Entrepreneurs ‘Connect the Dots’ to Identify.” Academy
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Gary Klein. “Conditions for Intuitive Expertise.” American Psychologist 64, no. 6 (September 2009): 515–26. Kerin, Roger A., P. Rajan Varadarajan, and Robert A. Peterson. “First-Mover Advantage: A Synthesis, Conceptual Framework, and Research Propositions.” Journal of Marketing 56, no. 4 (1992): 33–52. Kluger, Avraham N., and Angelo DeNisi. “The Effects of
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Theory.” Psychological Bulletin 119, no. 2 (1996): 254–84. Lehrer, Jonah. Imagine: How Creativity Works. Houghton Mifflin, 2012. Lieberman, Marvin B., and David B. Montgomery. “First-Mover Advantages.” Strategic Management Journal no. 9 (1988): 41–58. Lieberman, Marvin B., and David B. Montgomery. “First-Mover (Dis)Advantages: Retrospective and Link with the Resource
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Bush, George W., 24–25 business growth budgeted experimentation, 110–11 causation vs. correlation, 98n company philosophy and branding, 180–81 creativity and, 98–99 first-mover advantage, 112–17 nature of change, 4–5 sideways thinking, 24 social networking as tool for, 102–4 Business Insider, 72, 116 BuzzFeed (blog), 53–55
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rights movement, 181 Cleveland, Grover, 24 Colbert, Stephen, 56, 69 collaboration, 94, 118, 132–34, 138 College Humor (website), 141 competition blaming external factors, 64 first-mover advantage, 112 higher expectations increase, 94, 235n179 importance of mentoring, 212n38 N-effect on performance, 179–80 visualizing/preparing for, 110, 153–54 computers/computer programming
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? (Sahlberg), 95n Finland educational model, 86–87, 99, 166–67 teaching lateral thinking, 95 teacher standards, 93–94 “first-class noticers,” 47, 163, 173, 195 first-mover advantage, 112–17 first principles, getting to, 177–79 From First to Last (FFTL, emo band), 102–4, 107–8, 117 Flickr (website), 111 Florida, Richard
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hacking the ladder becoming an “overnight” success, 20, 152–56 being at right place, right time, 106 collaborating/networking, 132–33 exemplifying the process, 195 first-mover advantage, 112–17 importance of pattern recognition, 107–10 learning to think smaller, 157–61 “small wins” lead to, 20–23, 49, 146 speeding up the
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by cheetah behavior, 23–24 collaboration can lead to, 94, 118, 133–34, 138 combining work and lateral thinking, 13–14 differences in meaning, 8 first-mover advantage, 112–17 leadership quality as indicator, 28 mentoring as secret to, 37–40 money changes one’s view, 143–47, 229n145 overcoming impediments, 163–67
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, 24–26 Taking Care of Business (film), 132 Tate, Ryan, 111 Taylor, Zachary, 24–25 teamwork, 41–43, 45 technology exponential nature of change, 4 first-mover advantage, 112–17 Moore’s law, 171 TechStars (startup mentors), 9 The Telegraph (newspaper), 144 Teller, Astro, 177–79, 185 Tellis, Gerard, 115 10X thinking about
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next budgeted experimentation, 110–11 creating your own, 174–75 creativity has constraints, 164–66 dealing with interference, 106–7 exemplifying the process, 196–97 first-mover advantage, 116–17 Oreo cookies tweet, 147–50 Oreo Super Bowl tweet, 151–52 reading signals better than others, 107–10, 112–15 recognizing next big
Competition Demystified
by Bruce C. Greenwald · 31 Aug 2016 · 482pp · 125,973 words
Microsoft produced a scaled-down version of Windows that could be crammed into handhelds, a number of manufacturers came to market with pocket PCs. Neither first-mover advantage nor ease of integration with a Macintosh had been able to lift the Newton. Apple has been more successful with its portable digital music player
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like CDs, cumulative volume growth and learning are rapid for both first movers and later entrants. A law of diminishing returns to learning shrinks any first-mover advantage, so that the adverse vintage effects come to predominate. At that point, it was certain that the successful compact disc business would attract competitors. Philips
The Business of Platforms: Strategy in the Age of Digital Competition, Innovation, and Power
by Michael A. Cusumano, Annabelle Gawer and David B. Yoffie · 6 May 2019 · 328pp · 84,682 words
the market. In the absence of competition, Sidecar’s strategy might have worked. But the frenetic pace of growth, especially by Uber, eliminated Sidecar’s first-mover advantage. By mid-2015, Uber had expanded to 300 cities around the world and had signed up its one-millionth driver, including over 150,000 active
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in 2011. For the first time, consumers had access to a natural conversation technology that actually worked (at least some of the time). Despite its first-mover advantage, however, Apple’s strategy for Siri was classic Apple: The company designed Siri as a product that complemented the iPhone, not as an innovation or
Economists and the Powerful
by Norbert Haring, Norbert H. Ring and Niall Douglas · 30 Sep 2012 · 261pp · 103,244 words
technology company during the dotcom frenzy or an investment bank during the subprime boom, initially has many very seemingly profitable business opportunities due to having first mover advantages. At some point, the company matures and the number of highly profitable business opportunities returns to normal. Executives will normally know when that will happen
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Matchmakers: The New Economics of Multisided Platforms
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The Captured Economy: How the Powerful Enrich Themselves, Slow Down Growth, and Increase Inequality
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The Curse of Cash
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Radical Technologies: The Design of Everyday Life
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Blue Ocean Strategy, Expanded Edition: How to Create Uncontested Market Space and Make the Competition Irrelevant
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Fair Shot: Rethinking Inequality and How We Earn
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Does Capitalism Have a Future?
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Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You
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Talk to Me: How Voice Computing Will Transform the Way We Live, Work, and Think
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Inner Entrepreneur: A Proven Path to Profit and Peace
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The Friendly Orange Glow: The Untold Story of the PLATO System and the Dawn of Cyberculture
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Restarting the Future: How to Fix the Intangible Economy
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Priceless: The Myth of Fair Value (And How to Take Advantage of It)
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The New New Thing: A Silicon Valley Story
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Magic Internet Money: A Book About Bitcoin
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Owning the Sun
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Different: Escaping the Competitive Herd
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Kings of Crypto: One Startup's Quest to Take Cryptocurrency Out of Silicon Valley and Onto Wall Street
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Bitcoin Internals: A Technical Guide to Bitcoin
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