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pages: 361 words: 81,068

The Internet Is Not the Answer
by Andrew Keen
Published 5 Jan 2015

Personal computers in 1975, the Internet in 1993, and—I believe—Bitcoin in 2014.”108 What Silicon Valley euphemistically calls the “sharing economy” is a preview of this distributed capitalism system powered by the network effect of positive feedback loops. Investors like Andreessen see the Internet—a supposedly hyperefficient, “frictionless” platform for buyers and sellers—as an upgrade to the structural inefficiencies of the top-down twentieth-century economy. Along with peer-to-peer currencies like Bitcoin, the new distributed model offers crowdfunding networks like the John Doerr investment Indiegogo, which enable anyone to raise money for an idea.

If you don’t like it, walk, Uber tells its customers, with Kalanickian tact, about a service that uses “surge” pricing—a euphemism for price gouging—which has resulted in fares being 700–800% above normal on holidays or in bad weather.12 During a particularly ferocious December 2013 snowstorm in New York City, one unfortunate Uber rider paid $94 for a trip of less than two miles that took just eleven minutes.13 Even the rich and famous are being outrageously ripped off by the unregulated Uber service, with Jessica Seinfeld, Jerry’s wife, being charged $415 during that same December storm to take her kid across Manhattan.14 Along with other startups such as Joe Gebbia’s Airbnb and the labor network TaskRabbit, Uber’s business model is based upon circumventing supposedly archaic twentieth-century regulations to create a “what you want when you want it” twenty-first-century economy. They believe that the Internet, as a hyperefficient and so-called frictionless platform for buyers and sellers, is the solution to what they call the “inefficiencies” of the twentieth-century economy. No matter that much of the business generated at networks like Airbnb is under investigation by US authorities, with many of the fifteen thousand “hosts” in New York not paying tax on their rental income.15 Nor that TaskRabbit’s so-called distributed-workforce model—whose simple goal, according to its CEO, Leah Busque, is to “revolutionize the world’s labor force”16—profits from what Brad Stone calls the “backbreaking” and “soul-draining” nature of low-paying menial labor.17 “This revolutionary work built out of Silicon Valley convenience is not really about technological innovation,” warns the podcaster and writer Sarah Jaffe about the role of labor brokers like TaskRabbit in our increasingly unequal economy.

The Battery member and Uber investor Shervin Pishevar expressed this same techno-libertarian fantasy in under 140 characters. “Let’s just TaskRabbit and Uberize the Government,” Pishevar tweeted to his 57,000 followers.63 He might as well have said: Let’s just TaskRabbit and Uberize the economy. Let’s just turn everything into the so-called sharing economy, a hyperefficient and frictionless platform for networked buyers and sellers. Let’s outsource labor so that everyone is paid by the day, by the hour, by the minute. Because that’s indeed what is happening to the Bay Area economy, with some Oakland residents even crowdfunding their own private police force64 and Facebook (of course) being the first US private company to pay for a full-time, privately paid “community safety police officer” on its campus.65 Pishevar probably believes that unions should be Uberized and TaskRabbited, too.

pages: 289 words: 113,211

A Demon of Our Own Design: Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial Innovation
by Richard Bookstaber
Published 5 Apr 2007

In classical physics, any number of real-world effects such as friction or air resistance are assumed away to make mathematical analysis more tractable. Perfect vacuums and ideal gases provide a set of simplifying assumptions that allowed for the development of theories of the physical world. Similarly, in the study of economics it is necessary to assume a construct of frictionless markets to build a market theory out of the tools of mathematics. This assumption of frictionless markets included instantaneous and costless transactions devoid of real-world constraints. Buyers and sellers bought or sold at posted prices, with no associated fees, and their actions had no impact on the market—in the nomenclature of economics, the market participants were atomistic.

Senate hearings, 129–130 Epstein, Sheldon, 46–47, 49 index-amortizing swap, 116 Equity trading profitability, 71–75 proprietary reliance, 73–74 European Monetary System currency crisis (1992), 3 Event risk, 248–249 Factor exposures, 202 Fair value basis, 29 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), 113 Federal Reserve policy shifts, 85 rate hike, impact, 53 Feduniak, Bob, 42, 52 Feuerstein, Donald, 196 Financial instability, aspects, 3–4 Financial markets, 224–225 Financial risk, 256–257 Fisher, Andy, 59, 80 Fixed income focus, 251–252 Fixed income research (FIR), 8–9, 43–44 Flood, Gene, 190 Franklin, Mark, 97 Free-floating anxiety, 235 Frictionless markets, 209 FrontPoint Partners, 204, 205 FTSE Index, 117 Fundamental data, 166 Furu, example, 233–235 Futures market, 17–19 Futures shock (1635), 175–177 Galbraith, John Kenneth, 16 Gamma, problems, 24–25 General Electric (GE), 41–42 Generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), 135 Geographic regions, classification, 246 Global Crossing, restatements/liability, 135 Godel, Kurt, 222–224, 227–228 Gold, Jeremy, 8–9 Goldman Sachs acquisition, 75 public offering, delay, 109 Goldstein, Ramy, 116–118 Gracie family, 258–259 Gracie, Gastao, 258 Greenhill, Bob, 73 Greenmail, taxation, 13–14 Gross Domestic Product (GDP), 3–4 Growth bias, 202 Grubman, Jack, 128–130, 134 MCI/BT involvement, 69–71 nursery school admissions, 131–132 Gutfreund, John, 62–63, 105, 195–197 resignation, 199 Haghani, Victor, 102–104, 110, 112 Hall, Andy, 63–67 Hawkins, Greg, 51 Hedgefundedness, 243–244 Hedge funds, 165, 207, 214–215, 243 classification, problem, 245 classification, 245–246 control, 252–253 defining, 245 economic service, 219 existence, question, 244 regulation, 247–250 Heisenberg, Werner, 223–228 Hilibrand, Larry, 79, 110, 113 Human error, 149 272 bindex.qxd 7/13/07 2:44 PM Page 273 INDEX Kaplan, Joel, 44–45 Kaplanis, Costas, 63, 79 Kidder, Peabody, 39–42 Knowledge, limits, 221–230 Krasker, Bill, 86 Liquidity basics, 213–220 complexity, relationship, 145 demand, 26, 191 hedge fund classification, 246 history, 217–218 impact, 212–213 needs, 183 providers, 213–215 role, 215–220 squeeze, prospects, 105 suppliers, 22, 192–193 supply, price elasticity, 94–95 transparency, 226 Liquidity crisis cycle, 93–94 prevention, 94–95 providing, hedge funds (impact), 214–215 Long-range forecasting, 228 London Exchange, Rothschild visit, 90 London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) government rates, parity, 57 higher-yielding LIBOR bond, 57 LIBOR-denominated debt, 56 Long-dated call options, 57 Long-Distance Discount Service (LDDS), acquisitions, 70 Long/short equity hedge funds, 200–205 Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) capital reserves, assumption, 106–108 collapse, 93 decision point, 110 disaster, 57, 60, 92–93, 100, 145 hedge fund debacle/crisis, 1–3 leverage cycle, 97 liquidity risk, 107–108 losses, 108–111 management, initiation, 195–200 market price positions, feedback, 112 market risks, modeling/monitoring, 111–112 problems, public knowledge, 104–105 repurchase agreement, problem, 104 risk arbitrage position, 107 risk burden, 108 Long-term rates, short-term rates (interaction), 47 Loops, usage/impact, 45 Loosely coupled system, 157 Lorenz, Edward, 227–229 deterministic systems, 229–230 Langsam, Joe, 232, 236–237 Laplace, Pierre-Simon, 223, 225 Lead-lag strategy, 193–194 Leeson, Nick (impact), 38–39 Leibowitz, Marty, 8, 51, 53 Leland, Hayne, 10 Leverage, 244 amount, reduction, 260 crisis, occurrence, 111–113 regulations, imposition, 248 Levin, Carl, 130 Lewis, Michael, 52 Liquidation ability, 93 Mack, John, 28, 29, 35, 37 trader emulation, 35 Macro data, usage, 166–167 Macro strategies, 202 Maeda, Mitsuyo, 258 Margin-induced sale, 94 Market aberrations, opportunities, 122 breakdown, reaction, 146 crises, worsening (aspects), 3–4 cycle, basis, 169 decline, respite, 23–24 exponential growth, 17 Illiquidity, cost, 217–218 Index-amortizing swap, 46–48 Information flow, process, 210 implications, derivation, 170–171 overload, 220–230 Information-based trading, 166 Information Technology (IT), support function, 185–186 Initial public offerings (IPOs), 72 creation, 173–174 issuance, amount, 178–179 Innovation, positive effects, 255–256 INSEAD, 66 Intangibles, 137–138 Interactive complexity, 154–157 Interest only (IO), 55 Interest rate, 84–85, 87 International Monetary Fund (IMF) package, 103 Internet bubble, 179–181 businesses, virtual nature, 172 stocks, run-up (1998), 178 Interrelated markets, complexity (by-product), 143 Intraday price movement, 183 Inventory service, 71 Investment buyers, scare, 22 coverage, 249–250 investor behavior, 203–204 strategy, 247 type, classification, 246 Investors, irrational behavior, 203–204 Irrational markets, impact, 180–181 Iverson, Keith, 48 Iverson, Ken Japan, liquidity, 39 Japanese swap spread strategy/profit, 100 Jenkinson, Robert Banks, 89–90 Jett, Joe, 39–41 Jiu Jitsu Academy, 258 Jones, Paul Tudor, 165 Junk bonds, 71 273 bindex.qxd 7/13/07 2:44 PM Page 274 INDEX Market (Continued) failures, safeguards, 239–240 illiquidity, portfolio insurance by-product, 14 innovation, 11–12 makers, problem, 191–192 regulation, 146–154 risk, paradox, 1 volatility, 5, 25 vulnerability, 224–225 Market bubbles, 168–174 Market-to-book ratio, 138 Marx, Karl, 250 Marxist backward market, exploitation, 250 Material adverse change clause, 65 Maughan, Deryck, 59, 73–77 MCI Communications British Telecom (BT), merger/trade, 63–64, 67, 128 conclusion, 74 EPS, decline, 70 renegotiation, willingness, 67–68 stock, decline, 64 Mean-reversion analysis, 190 Mechanical failure, 149 Mercury Asset Management, 196 Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) advice/underwriting, 33 Meriwether, John, 52, 100, 197 resignation, 199 Merrill Lynch, 42 Merton, Robert, 9, 207 Metallgesellschaft Refining and Marketing (MGRM), oil price risk (offloading), 37–38 Mexican Brady bond/Eurobond spread, 107 Mexican peso crisis (1994), 3 Miller, Heidi, 78–80, 140 Modigliani, Franco, 208–209 Money flows, 167 Morgan Stanley APL, usage, 44–45 Dean Witter, merger, 75 IT department, 43 portfolio insurance, 10–12 risk arbitrage department, 15 risk manager, 42 Morgan Stanley Asset Management (MSAM), 11 Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM), 205 Mortgage-backed securities (MBSs), 54–56, 213 Mortgage market, 35, 54–55, 102 Mortgages, opportunities, 35 Mozer, Paul, 195–198 Munger, Charlie, 62, 99, 101, 197–198 Myojin, Sugar, 59, 63, 78–79 Natural catastrophe, 257 New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) specialists, impact, 20–21 stock sale, 13 Noncash exchanges, 40 Norman Conquest, 215 Norris, Floyd (editorial), 91–92 O’Brien, John, 10 One-off events, 249 Opportunistic strategies birth/death cycle, 252 history, 251 Optimal behavior, mathematical framework, 237–240 Options, stripping, 117 Option theory, 24 Orange County, bankruptcy, 38 Organizational dysfunction, 134–136 Pacioli, Luca, 136–137 Pairwise stock trades, 187 Palmedo, Peter, 17, 28–29 Paloma Partners Management Company, 42 Pandit, Vikram, 12 Parets, Andy, 63–69 Parkhurst, Charlie, 85 Partnership model, 37 Perfect market paradigm, 209–210 imperfections, 210–212 liquidity, degree, 212–213 Phibro, Salomon acquisition, 66 Physical processes, modeling, 229 Platt, Bob, 7–8 Portfolio insurance, 10–15 market crash, 22 Portfolio managers, loss (risk), 204–205 Position disclosure, problems, 225 transparency, increase (financial market regulator advocacy), 225 Preference shares, illiquidity, 115 Price convergence, 121–122 Primal risk, 235–237 knowledge, limits, 230–232 Primogeniture, 215–220 implications, 216–217 objective, impact, 216 Principal only (PO), 54–55 Principia Mathematica (Russell), 221–223 Procter & Gamble, losses, 38 Program trading, absence, 24–25 Protest bids, 195–196 Quants, 8–9, 82–84 Quantum Fund, 180–181 Quattrone, Frank, 72 Rational man approach, 231 Real assets, valuation, 137–138 Real-world risk, 237–238 Reed, John, 127 Relative strength index (RSI), 190 Relative value trades, 101–102 Rhoades, Loeb, 125 RISC workstations, 191 Risk control, 220 knowledge, absence, 231–232 management, 36 nature, variation, 249 reduction, 185 progress/refinement, impact, 4 tactical usage, 200 274 bindex.qxd 7/13/07 2:44 PM Page 275 INDEX Risk arbitrage, 15–16, 65, 71 Risk Architecture, 126 Risk-controlled relative value trading, 102–103 Risk-management structure, 238 Robertson, Julian, 165, 179–182 Rosenbluth, Jeff, 59, 83 Rosenfeld, Eric, 51, 79, 86 Rothschild, Nathan, 88–89 trading strategy, 90–93 Waterloo, relationship, 89–90 Rubinstein, Mark, 10 Russell, Bertrand, 221–223 Russia default, 103–104 Russian short-term bonds, 103 Salomon Brothers arbitrage units, 73–74, 80–82 closure, 88–89 tracking error, problems, 86–89 competition, 60–61 fixed income trading floor, 82 Japanese unit, 56–62 July Fourth massacre, 86–89 mortgage position, loss, 55–56 organization, trader involvement, 73 risk arbitrage group, mortgage position, 80–81 Travelers purchase, 77 Salomon North, 81, 100, 199 Salomon Smith Barney convergence trades, 120–124 proprietary trading, reduction, 92 risk management committee, 98–101 risk measuring/monitoring, 126 Travelers, interaction, 125 U.S. fixed income arbitrage group, 91–93 U.S.

pages: 791 words: 85,159

Social Life of Information
by John Seely Brown and Paul Duguid
Published 2 Feb 2000

Experiments at both IBM and MIT with bots in apparently frictionless markets indicate potential for destructive behavior. Not "subject to constraints that normally moderate human behavior in economic activity," as one researcher puts it, the bots will happily destabilize a market in pursuit of their immediate goals. In the experiments, bots engaged in savage price wars, drove human suppliers out of the market, and produced unmanageable swings in profitability. "There's potential for a lot of mayhem once bots are introduced on a wide scale," another researcher concluded. 25 The research suggests that frictionless markets, run by rationally calculating bots, may not be the efficient economic panacea some have hoped for.

Monte Carlo Simulation and Finance
by Don L. McLeish
Published 1 Apr 2005

If we can reproduce exactly the same (random) returns as the derivative provides using a linear combination of other marketable securities (which have prices assigned by the market) then the derivative must have the same price as the linear combination of other securities. Any other price would provide arbitrage opportunities. Of course in the real world, there are costs associated with trading, these costs usually related to a bid-ask spread. There is essentially a different price for buying a security and for selling it. The argument above assumes a frictionless market with no trading costs, with borrowing any amount at the risk-free bond rate possible, and a completely liquid market- any amount of any security can be bought or sold. Moreover it is usually assumed that the market is complete and it is questionable whether complete markets exist. For example if a derivative security can be perfectly replicated using other marketable instruments, then what is the purpose of the derivative security in the market?

Suppose that a security price is an Ito process satisfying the equation dS t = a(St , t ) dt + σ(St , t) dW t (2.33) Assumed the market allows investment in the stock as well as a risk-free bond whose price at time t is Bt . It is necessary to make various other assumptions as well and strictly speaking all fail in the real world, but they are a reasonable approximation to a real, highly liquid and nearly frictionless market: 1. partial shares may be purchased 2. there are no dividends paid on the stock 3. There are no commissions paid on purchase or sale of the stock or bond 4. There is no possibility of default for the bond 5. Investors can borrow at the risk free rate governing the bond. 6. All investments are liquid- they can be bought or sold instantaneously. 78 CHAPTER 2.

pages: 1,088 words: 228,743

Expected Returns: An Investor's Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards
by Antti Ilmanen
Published 4 Apr 2011

This chapter reviews the revolution in academic thinking about expected returns. Twenty-five years ago the consensus assumptions included• a world with a single risk factor—the asset’s sensitivity to the equity market (i.e., the CAPM beta); • constant expected returns over time; • investors care only about the means and variances of asset returns; • frictionless markets; and • efficient markets/rational investors. The current view is more complex but also more realistic. There are• multiple risk factors (whose required rewards ultimately depend on their covariation with “bad times)”; • time-varying risk premia; • skewness and liquidity preferences (liking lottery tickets and liquid assets); • supply–demand effects on asset prices; and • market inefficiencies (due to investor irrationalities and/or market frictions).

I will not derive it formally here but show one traditional set of assumptions (that can later be relaxed):• one-period world (this implies a constant investment opportunity set and constant risk premia over time); • access to unlimited riskless borrowing/lending and tradable risky assets; • no taxes or transaction costs (i.e., frictionless markets); • investors are rational mean variance optimizers (only caring about means and covariances can be motivated by normally distributed asset returns or by a quadratic utility function); and • investors have homogeneous expectations (all agree about asset means and covariances; all investors see the same picture).

If any particular asset should offer a higher expected return due solely to the increase in the quantity outstanding, investors will soon arbitrage away such profit opportunities. Arbitrage is possible because assets are “not unique works of art” but have close counterparts in other assets or mixes of other assets (Scholes, 1972). If there are perfect substitutes and frictionless markets, buying a highexpected-return asset while selling a substitute with a lower expected return constitutes a riskless arbitrage. Subsequent empirical studies disputed the notion that perfect substitutes exist. Demand effects may play a key role in explaining time-varying risk premia, given the lack of substitutes for market risk exposures.

pages: 130 words: 11,880

Optimization Methods in Finance
by Gerard Cornuejols and Reha Tutuncu
Published 2 Jan 2006

The price of XYZ a month from today is random: Assume that its value will either double or halve with equal probabilities. 80=S (u) 1 *   S0 =$40 HH . j20=S (d) H 1 Today, we purchase a European call option to buy one share of XYZ stock for $50 a month from today. What is the fair price of this call option? Let us assume that we can borrow or lend money with no interest between today and next month, and that we can buy or sell any amount of the XYZ stock without any commissions, etc. These are part of the “frictionless market” assumptions we will address later in the manuscript. Further assume that XYZ will not pay any dividends within the next month. To solve the pricing problem, we consider the following hedging problem: Can we form a portfolio of the underlying stock (bought or sold) and cash (borrowed or lent) today, such that the payoff from the portfolio at the expiration date of the option will match the payoff of the option?

pages: 169 words: 43,906

The Website Investor: The Guide to Buying an Online Website Business for Passive Income
by Jeff Hunt
Published 17 Nov 2014

Methods that attempt to put a value on such things, like traffic statistics or email list count, almost always fail because there are dramatic and substantive differences between one email list and another or one visitor to a website and a visitor to a different website. Market-Driven Comparisons One approach that does have some theoretical reliability involves analyzing actual sale prices of comparable web properties. Websites with similar characteristics should sell for similar prices—assuming a frictionless market. This process works because, at the end of the day, a site is only worth what a real buyer is willing to pay for it. So, given enough transactions by real buyers, one should be able to deduce going market rates. This is how it works when you are buying a house. Homes in the same general location with the same number of rooms, square footage, and amenities are considered “comparable.”

Hacking Capitalism
by Söderberg, Johan; Söderberg, Johan;

Peter Jaszi writes on how the predominance of copyright and the notion of romantic authorship foreclose alternative forms of collective creativity and ‘serial collaboration’. Peter Jaszi, “On the Author Effect: Contemporary Copyright and Collective Creativity.” Cardozo Arts & Entertainment Law Journal 10 (1992). 10. Brendan Scott, “Copyright in a Frictionless World: Toward a Rhetoric of Responsibility”, First Monday, vol.6, no.9 (September 2001). 11. Carla Hesse, “Enlightenment Epistemology and the Laws of Authorship in Revolutionary France, 1777–1793”, Representations 30 (1990). 12. Makeen Fouad Makeen, Copyright in a Global Information Society—The Scope of Copyright Protection under International, US, UK and French Law (Hague: Kluwer Law International 2000). 13.

“The Internet and the Sovereign State: the Role and Impact of Cyberspace on National and Global Governance”, Indiana Journal of Global Legal Studies 5 (1998). Sayer, Andrew. “Postfordism in Question.” International Journal of Urban and Regional Research 35 (1989). Scott, Brendan. “Copyright in a Frictionless World: Toward a Rhetoric of Responsibility.” First Monday vol.6, no.9 (September 2001). Scott, Jason. BBS the Documentary, (2004). Shershow, Scott Cutler “Of Sinking: Marxism and the ‘General’ Economy”. Critical Inquiry vol 27 no 3 (spring 2001). Stallabrass, Julian. “Empowering Technology: The Exploration of Cyberspace.”

pages: 504 words: 139,137

Efficiently Inefficient: How Smart Money Invests and Market Prices Are Determined
by Lasse Heje Pedersen
Published 12 Apr 2015

But outside the classroom, finance professors often run around chasing arbitrage opportunities. Fortunately, the arbitrage pricing theory not only tells you how to price securities in the absence of arbitrage, it also tells you how to exploit arbitrages if they do exist. Simply using the no-arbitrage condition and frictionless markets, we get a beautiful theory of relative asset pricing: A security can be “priced by arbitrage” in the sense that we can compute its fundamental value based on the value of other related securities. Arbitrage pricing can be done in the following three ways (of increasing complexity): 1. If two securities have the same payoffs, they must have the same value. 2.

Banks and hedge funds take the other side of this trade, making an expected profit, but not a certain arbitrage profit, as the option prices adjust to an efficiently inefficient level.5 ___________________ 1 See Frazzini and Pedersen (2013). 2 This version of the put-call parity requires that the stock does not pay any dividends before the option expiration. Otherwise, one must subtract the present value of the dividends on the right-hand side. 3 For American-type derivatives, one should check at every “node” in the tree whether exercise is optimal, but early exercise is not optimal for call options written on non-dividend-paying stocks in a frictionless market. 4 See Black and Scholes (1973) and Merton (1973), for which Myron Scholes (whom we meet in the interview in chapter 14) and Robert C. Merton won the Nobel Prize in 1997. (The Nobel Prize is not given posthumously, and Black passed away in 1995.) 5 Bollen and Whaley (2004) find evidence that option demand moves option prices and Gârleanu, Pedersen, and Poteshman (2009) present a model of demand-based option pricing with consistent evidence.

Investing Amid Low Expected Returns: Making the Most When Markets Offer the Least
by Antti Ilmanen
Published 24 Feb 2022

In sum, the risk that investors care about is their portfolio volatility,7 and in a one-factor world an asset's beta tells how much it contributes to portfolio volatility. Now, the real world is more complicated than the CAPM assumes. I could cover extensions based on relaxing any number of the CAPM assumptions (normally distributed returns or mean-variance preferences, one-period model, homogeneous expectations, unlimited leverage, frictionless markets). I will only comment on extensions beyond a one-factor model. Already in the 1970s, research in Merton's (1973) Intertemporal CAPM and Ross's (1975) Arbitrage Pricing Theory pointed to multi-factor models. Later, empirical models dominated the literature and practice. Chen-Roll-Ross (1986) considered interest rate risk and other macro factors as relevant risks to investors beyond equity markets.

Model errors: The risk/reward trade-off in MVO is based on simplifying assumptions, such as normally distributed returns or mean-variance preferences. Clearly, many investors care about portfolio characteristics beyond mean and variance. Other important preferences may include leverage, liquidity, ESG, and higher moments (e.g. skewness and tail risk). Moreover, a one-period, one-factor model in frictionless markets is hardly realistic; yet multi-period or multi-factor models add complexity, as do market frictions such as trading costs and taxes.13 The biggest error may be to deal with the wrong question or consider a too narrow investment opportunity set. Instead of doing an assets-only optimization, a pension plan could broaden its problem to include pension liabilities and optimize the asset-liability surplus.

pages: 302 words: 73,581

Platform Scale: How an Emerging Business Model Helps Startups Build Large Empires With Minimum Investment
by Sangeet Paul Choudary
Published 14 Sep 2015

• Open architecture: Platforms are open systems that allow users to contribute and add value. They need to ensure that users participate regularly on the platform to ensure a vibrant cycle of value creation. • Quality control and relevance: The open and frictionless nature of a platform leads to conflicting priorities. Being open and frictionless, platforms invite abundance. YouTube’s content and eBay’s listings speak of abundance. It is important to ensure that a platform offers quality and relevance to ensure that the abundance does not overwhelm consumers. This priority is in conflict with being open and participative and needs to be carefully architected

pages: 254 words: 76,064

Whiplash: How to Survive Our Faster Future
by Joi Ito and Jeff Howe
Published 6 Dec 2016

Cheap, effective 3-D printers have made prototyping a breeze; knowledge once accessible only inside large corporations or academic institutions can now be found through online courseware or within communities like DIYbio, a collection of citizen scientists who engage in the kind of genetic experiments that were only recently the stuff of expensive, exclusive laboratories.19 Finally, crowdfunding sites like Kickstarter and Indiegogo have built nearly frictionless platforms for raising money to develop anything from small art projects to major consumer appliances. These are real-time examples of emergence in action. They allow creators to test the validity of that unique information—a water bottle turned Super Soaker!—with a large group of potential customers.

pages: 242 words: 68,019

Why Information Grows: The Evolution of Order, From Atoms to Economies
by Cesar Hidalgo
Published 1 Jun 2015

He noted that descriptions of the economy overlooked obvious aspects, such as the fact that workers who relocate from one department to another within a company are responding not to the price system but to the orders of a manager, or that drafting and executing contracts often involves an awful lot of work. Coase noted that economic transactions were not easy, and that the economy was not as fluid as many of his colleagues liked to assume. In Coase’s view, the economy was not a collection of fluid and frictionless market transactions but a set of islands of conscious power, shielded from each other and from the dynamics of the price mechanisms. Firms are hierarchical, Coase emphasized, and the interactions between a firm’s workers are often political. So in Coase’s view, hiring a worker was a form of contract in which a person was hired to do a task that had not yet been specified, since what a worker will be asked to do a few months down the road is rarely known when she is hired.

pages: 330 words: 91,805

Peers Inc: How People and Platforms Are Inventing the Collaborative Economy and Reinventing Capitalism
by Robin Chase
Published 14 May 2015

And potential renters clearly found that the hassle and uncertainty of dealing directly with Nick outweighed the benefits (nothing personal, Nick). What Nick and others couldn’t do, platform-based companies like Zipcar could. It takes a company, like Zipcar, to build robust platforms that make it simple for peers to participate and to exploit the excess capacity identified. Think about what it takes to forge a resilient, frictionless platform for peer-to-peer car sharing. Acquiring the appropriate group insurance is at best a year-long effort (and at worst five years and counting in the United States) that no individual or insurance company would ever undertake for just one person’s policy. Nor could an individual get the benefits of a bulk discount.

pages: 256 words: 67,563

Explaining Humans: What Science Can Teach Us About Life, Love and Relationships
by Camilla Pang
Published 12 Mar 2020

Only then can we hope to find an energetic harmony within ourselves – the basis of being able to find the same with other people. Constructive interference and resonance This appreciation of amplitude is important because, when it comes to oscillators and waves, there is no such thing as an isolated existence. A harmonic oscillator doesn’t live in the perfect, frictionless world that might allow a ball on a spring to go back and forth to eternity. So too is the child on the swing affected by everything from wind resistance to the timing of the person waiting for them at the bottom. It’s the same across the rest of our lives. The wave of our personality doesn’t simply unwind happily through space and time, merrily following an uninterrupted path.

Global Governance and Financial Crises
by Meghnad Desai and Yahia Said
Published 12 Nov 2003

There is, first, the neo-liberal position, the dominant political economy perspective of the present period. There are several strands within neo-liberalism. At one extreme, neo-liberals are hyper-globalists, believing that globalisation is sweeping away all obstacles to free competition and frictionless markets (Held et al. 1999). The main obstacles that remain are nation-states and their attempts to safeguard and police their territorial jurisdictions. For these neo-liberals, the cause of financial crises is to be sought in the powers and activities of governments, which by intervening in inappropriate ways in financial markets, prevent them from working as they should and precipitate crises.

pages: 252 words: 73,131

The Inner Lives of Markets: How People Shape Them—And They Shape Us
by Tim Sullivan
Published 6 Jun 2016

Customers can comment on the contractors they’ve hired, which means that, even if you don’t know anyone who’s worked with a particular plumber, you at least have some indication of whether he knows what he’s doing, how fast he works, and how accurate his estimates usually turn out to be. And you’ll know whether he tracks mud in his customers’ houses or smokes in their bathrooms, because Angie’s List will tell you all that, for a fee. Essentially, once you find yourself outside the frictionless world of perfect markets, there’s a potential role for an intermediary to sit between the two sides.14 Lots of market evangelists have taken the notion that better technology and more nuanced feedback algorithms will end the informational problems that were the focus of Akerlof, Spence, and other information economists.

pages: 313 words: 84,312

We-Think: Mass Innovation, Not Mass Production
by Charles Leadbeater
Published 9 Dec 2010

That is not to say that these critics do not raise important points, but they are qualifiers, not the main story. The fourth group argue the net will be mainly good for us. The members of this group, however, differ over why and how the net will be useful for society. The libertarian, free market wing believe the Internet is creating more diversity and choice, resulting in faster, frictionless markets and an abundance of free culture. In fact, the web is no less than a capitalist cornucopia. Chris Anderson, the editor of Wired and author of The Long Tail is the cheerleader for this camp. The communitarian optimists take a contrary view. They see in the Internet the possibility of community and collaboration, commons-based, peer-to-peer production, which will establish non-market and non-hierarchical organisations.

pages: 295 words: 81,861

Road to Nowhere: What Silicon Valley Gets Wrong About the Future of Transportation
by Paris Marx
Published 4 Jul 2022

For all its complexity, contemporary logistics aspires to purge commerce of the kinds of connection that reveal our interdependencies, that make a political understanding of our situation in the world possible. Where goods move freely, the spaces in which we can move without friction shrink.6 In the same way that the urban landscape was sanitized to make way for the automobile, a similar process will be necessary to make way for the frictionless world of technologically mediated consumption that tech companies desire to usher in. There are benefits to some forms of on-demand services and ecommerce, but the way they are designed and implemented under capitalism does not enrich communities, nor make them more equitable. Rather, they take away the human elements that are perceived as friction and hollow out our social existence.

pages: 302 words: 95,965

How to Be the Startup Hero: A Guide and Textbook for Entrepreneurs and Aspiring Entrepreneurs
by Tim Draper
Published 18 Dec 2017

The tokens purchased could be immediately marketable, and the price would fluctuate as the value of the underlying asset grew. Any project could be funded by a DAO offering, and any startup could raise money by simply initiating their own currency. In fact, it wouldn’t be limited to startups. Anyone could set up an ICO. Imagine the societal change and the frictionless market, the wealth and the jobs that could be created if everyone could raise their own money and have their labor valued through a fresh currency. As of this writing, Draper Associates has funded three ICOs. Bancor has the potential to transform marketplaces for projects and startups, Tezos has the potential to change how we govern ourselves globally, and Credo can be the vehicle we all use to put a value on email attention.

pages: 378 words: 94,468

Drugs 2.0: The Web Revolution That's Changing How the World Gets High
by Mike Power
Published 1 May 2013

Its server was hosted in Holland, and soon enough dozens more group buys and swaps and sales kicked off. The site was mainly populated by young men who bought and sold designer drugs to each other with an enthusiasm and blatancy that was matched only by their carelessness. This Facebook generation, so accustomed to sharing information openly and indiscriminately in a frictionless world where an acquaintance or an adserver alike are trusted with access to your most private information, was lulled into a false sense of security by the lack of action in the US in the years following Operation Web Tryp – in the unlikely event that they had ever heard of it. Quite how anyone believed that a site such as The Euphoric Knowledge could continue to run is anyone’s guess, but for a while, it was one of the busiest spots for the research, purchase and sale of some extraordinarily rare and potent compounds that, just a few years before, were known perhaps to a few thousand people worldwide.

pages: 356 words: 103,944

The Globalization Paradox: Democracy and the Future of the World Economy
by Dani Rodrik
Published 23 Dec 2010

The “rational expectations” revolution, which took as its premise that individuals do not make systematic prediction errors about the future course of the economy, gave us a better appreciation of the role that anticipatory, forward-looking behavior by firms, workers, and consumers plays in shaping economic outcomes. The “efficient market hypothesis,” built on the joint supposition of rational expectations and frictionless markets, taught us about the good that financial markets can do in the absence of transaction costs. These ideas made useful contributions to economics and to economic policy. But they did not upend everything we already knew. They simply gave us additional tools with which we could anticipate the economic consequences of different circumstances.

pages: 350 words: 103,988

Reinventing the Bazaar: A Natural History of Markets
by John McMillan
Published 1 Jan 2002

Since price dispersion continues to exist, it must be that even internet markets are subject to frictions—there are still some transaction costs. These are not costs of locating sellers or learning their prices, for those costs are close to zero. The remaining transaction costs are more subtle. They come from difficulties of observing quality. The internet has not created perfectly frictionless markets. The need for buyers to be able to trust sellers has been heightened by the internet. The hype notwithstanding, the internet in fact has not made information free. If shopping were merely a matter of finding the lowest price, the internet’s comparison shopping devices would eventually force all retailers to match their lowest-priced competitors.

pages: 337 words: 89,075

Understanding Asset Allocation: An Intuitive Approach to Maximizing Your Portfolio
by Victor A. Canto
Published 2 Jan 2005

This is important because it suggests country-specific effects do indeed exist. Thus, I contend changes in national economic policies produce systematic deviations from PPP. To the extent these deviations can be anticipated, I also contend investors and portfolio managers who are tuned in to location effects can sail with the wind at their backs. In a frictionless world, production factors and the mobility of goods and services guarantee differences in rates of return are arbitraged away. In such an idealized world, PPP holds. This means, as long as there is no deviation from PPP, rates of return are identical across national markets. This is a potent insight and it has two distinct implications.

pages: 361 words: 97,787

The Curse of Cash
by Kenneth S Rogoff
Published 29 Aug 2016

The effect on the portfolio the private sector owns directly is offset by the effect on the government portfolio that the private sector also owns, albeit quite indirectly.24 That is, if the government lost money by purchasing private mortgage-backed securities that went into default, it is the public that would eventually have to pay the higher taxes to cover the losses. A hyper-rational taxpayer in a frictionless world would internalize this risk and adjust her own portfolio accordingly. In the extreme limit, exchanges between public and private portfolios have no effect; when the government issues short-term debt and goes into private markets to buy long-term debt, there is no net effect, because the exchange is “all in the family.”

pages: 393 words: 115,263

Planet Ponzi
by Mitch Feierstein
Published 2 Feb 2012

That sad tale is the story of the next chapter. 11 Collecting nickels in front of steamrollers The previous chapter looked at the monumental risks that have built up in a system dedicated to the management, dispersal, and efficient pricing of risk. There’s quite a paradox here. Financial markets are often said to come as close as is possible to the economists’ ideal of a competitive, well-informed, frictionless market. If neoclassical economic theory made any kind of sense, financial markets should be its showcase: the best possible example of markets in action. Unfortunately, markets don’t follow theory; they prefer reality. And reality is messy, full of compromise and skewed, absent, or contradictory incentives.

pages: 446 words: 117,660

Arguing With Zombies: Economics, Politics, and the Fight for a Better Future
by Paul Krugman
Published 28 Jan 2020

And if the analysis of where we are now rests on this fudge factor, how much confidence can we have in the models’ predictions about where we are going? The state of macro, in short, is not good. So where does the profession go from here? VII. FLAWS AND FRICTIONS Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system. If the profession is to redeem itself, it will have to reconcile itself to a less alluring vision—that of a market economy that has many virtues but that is also shot through with flaws and frictions. The good news is that we don’t have to start from scratch. Even during the heyday of perfect-market economics, there was a lot of work done on the ways in which the real economy deviated from the theoretical ideal.

Trading Risk: Enhanced Profitability Through Risk Control
by Kenneth L. Grant
Published 1 Sep 2004

In particular, for some longer-term strategies (e.g., private equity investments), trade execution considerations and liquidity constraints may be such that you may have to suffer significant drawdown in order to achieve the desired returns. In such a case, it is instructive to understand the associated magnitudes. By contrast, short-term trading of liquid securities in relatively frictionless markets should not demand that enormous pain be endured in order to achieve your targeted objectives. • Return over Maximum Drawdown (ROMAD). This statistic, in which annual returns are expressed as a percentage of the worst drawdown experienced over a specified period of analysis, actually represents what many people believe to be the most accurate available measure of risk-adjusted return.

User Friendly: How the Hidden Rules of Design Are Changing the Way We Live, Work & Play
by Cliff Kuang and Robert Fabricant
Published 7 Nov 2019

Even the gaps between the rides were designed to make art: They were vast areas of blankness that cleared the palate between scenes of Main Street or the American West. Walt Disney was designing an experience based on the aesthetic of the movies and theater, where everything inessential has to be stripped away so that reality can be concentrated.7 Forty years after it opened, today’s Disney World does indeed offer a glimpse of a frictionless world with annoyances buffed away by technology. But only a glimpse, because the MagicBands, and the original dream for them, buckled under reality. The difficulties Disney saw in realizing its vision show why giant companies hoping to build the user-friendly world are reaching the limit of what they can create.

pages: 567 words: 122,311

Lean Analytics: Use Data to Build a Better Startup Faster
by Alistair Croll and Benjamin Yoskovitz
Published 1 Mar 2013

Visualizing a Two-Sided Marketplace Figure 13-1 illustrates a user’s flow through a two-sided marketplace, along with the key metrics at each stage. Figure 13-1. Two-sided marketplaces—twice the metrics, twice the fun Wrinkles: Chicken and Egg, Fraud, Keeping the Transaction, and Auctions In the early days of the Web, pundits predicted an open, utopian world of frictionless markets that were transparent and efficient. But as Internet giants like Google, Amazon, and Facebook have shown, parts of the Web are dystopian. Two-sided marketplaces are subject to strong network effects—the more inventory they have to offer, the more useful they become. A marketplace with no inventory, on the other hand, is useless.

Adam Smith: Father of Economics
by Jesse Norman
Published 30 Jun 2018

And as with physics, it purported to be memoryless; for what could the point be of memory or history in a hard science, where present results supersede past ones? And the idea of homo economicus changed as well. As general equilibrium thinking moved to centre stage, individuals came to be seen increasingly not even as human at all, but as mere economic agents, atoms cut off from others, perfectly rational, operating in an exceptionless way in frictionless markets possessed of perfect information. The theory itself was highly abstract, not to say utopian—no such state of affairs existed or ever could exist in nature—and rather than reasoning from nature directly, it took perfect market conditions as its starting point. And it was static in character.

pages: 463 words: 140,499

The Tyranny of Nostalgia: Half a Century of British Economic Decline
by Russell Jones
Published 15 Jan 2023

It might have been expected, therefore, that such a dramatic shock to the global financial and economic systems would encourage profound changes in macroeconomic theory and its application to policy, and that the previously dominant new classical–new Keynesian conventional wisdom would be superseded by very different thinking and action – even if that new thinking offered a less-alluring vision than that of a perfect, frictionless, market system. This is, after all, what happened following the Great Depression – although admittedly it took a decade or so to come to fruition. Generally speaking, however, this was not the case after 2009. Notwithstanding the efforts of a small group of largely US-based economists to resurrect a particularly extravagant form of unreconstructed Keynesianism (so-called modern monetary theory, or MMT), there was no radical transformation of beliefs or approach – no revolution in thought or action.

Analysis of Financial Time Series
by Ruey S. Tsay
Published 14 Oct 2001

We briefly discuss the bid-ask bounce—namely, the bid-ask spread introduces negative lag-1 serial correlation in an asset return. Consider the simple model of Roll (1984). The observed market price Pt of an asset is assumed to satisfy S Pt = Pt∗ + It , 2 (5.9) 180 HIGH - FREQUENCY DATA where S = Pa − Pb is the bid-ask spread, Pt∗ is the time-t fundamental value of the asset in a frictionless market, and {It } is a sequence of independent binary random variables with equal probabilities (i.e., It = 1 with probability 0.5 and = −1 with probability 0.5). The It can be interpreted as an order-type indicator, with 1 signifying buyer-initiated transaction and −1 seller-initiated transaction.

pages: 442 words: 39,064

Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems
by Didier Sornette
Published 18 Nov 2002

As a consequence, Bachelier and Samuelson argued that any advantageous information that may lead to a profit opportunity is quickly eliminated by the feedback that their action has on the price. Their point is that the price variations in time are not independent of the actions of the traders; on the contrary, it results from them. If such feedback action occurs instantaneously, as in an idealized world of idealized “frictionless” markets and costless trading, then prices must always fully reflect all available information and no profits can be garnered from information-based trading (because such profits have already been captured). This fundamental concept introduced by Bachelier, now called “the efficient market hypothesis,” has a strong counterintuitive and seemingly contradictory flavor to it: the more active and efficient the market, the more intelligent and hard working the investors; as a consequence the more random is the sequence of price changes generated by such a market.

pages: 606 words: 157,120

To Save Everything, Click Here: The Folly of Technological Solutionism
by Evgeny Morozov
Published 15 Nov 2013

Automating virtue in one instance, as we have already seen, might require automating it everywhere—not to mention that, in the context of energy, it might result in more reckless consumption overall. The Caterpillar’s designers see friction—not efficiency or ease of use—as a productive resource that, properly deployed, can highlight complex issues that are very hard to see in a frictionless world. Another of their transformational products is a Forget Me Not reading lamp. Once switched on, Forget Me Not starts closing like a flower, as its light gradually gets dimmer and more obscure. For the lamp to reopen and shine again, the user needs to touch one of its petals. Thus, the user is in a constant dialogue with the lamp, hopefully aware of the responsibility to use energy appropriately.

pages: 611 words: 188,732

Valley of Genius: The Uncensored History of Silicon Valley (As Told by the Hackers, Founders, and Freaks Who Made It Boom)
by Adam Fisher
Published 9 Jul 2018

David Kushner: Just like the Ramones could take a few chords and just grab you by the throat, Pong had a joystick, a button, and a bunch of blocks on the screen—and you would spend the entire day there, playing it. Clive Thompson: I was completely mesmerized. Oh! Finally, we are directly looking at Newton’s concept of physics: trajectories in a frictionless world. There was something unbelievably beautiful and unsettling about it, in this sensual and tactile way. David Kushner: If you were a geeky teenaged guy in that period of time, you were blowing your lawn-mowing money on Atari. But Pong also became a status symbol: It was such a phenomenon that Hugh Hefner had to have one in his bachelor pad in Chicago!

pages: 695 words: 194,693

Money Changes Everything: How Finance Made Civilization Possible
by William N. Goetzmann
Published 11 Apr 2016

The Black-Scholes formula, as it is now referred to, was mathematically sophisticated, but at its heart it contained a novel economic—as opposed to mathematical—insight. They discovered that the invisible hand setting option prices was risk-neutral. Option payoffs could be replicated risklessly, provided one could trade in an ideal, frictionless market in which stocks behaved according to Brownian motion. Later researchers4 developed a simple framework called a “binomial model” that was able to match the payoff of a put or a call by trading just the stock and a bond through time. These solutions to the option pricing problem linked finance and physics together forever afterward.

pages: 1,034 words: 241,773

Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress
by Steven Pinker
Published 13 Feb 2018

They allow people to transfer money, order supplies, track the weather and markets, find day labor, get advice on health and farming practices, even obtain a primary education.50 An analysis by the economist Robert Jensen subtitled “The Micro and Mackerel Economics of Information” showed how South Indian small fishermen increased their income and lowered the local price of fish by using their mobile phones at sea to find the market which offered the best price that day, sparing them from having to unload their perishable catch on fish-glutted towns while other towns went fishless.51 In this way mobile phones are allowing hundreds of millions of small farmers and fishers to become the omniscient rational actors in the ideal frictionless markets of economics textbooks. According to one estimate, every cell phone adds $3,000 to the annual GDP of a developing country.52 The beneficent power of knowledge has rewritten the rules of global development. Development experts differ on the wisdom of foreign aid. Some argue that it does more harm than good by enriching corrupt governments and competing with local commerce.53 Others cite recent numbers which suggest that intelligently allocated aid has in fact done tremendous good.54 But while they disagree on the effects of donated food and dollars, all agree that donated technology—medicines, electronics, crop varieties, and best practices in agriculture, business, and public health—has been an unalloyed boon.

Principles of Corporate Finance
by Richard A. Brealey , Stewart C. Myers and Franklin Allen
Published 15 Feb 2014

Second, how should the cash be distributed, by paying cash dividends or by repurchasing shares? We will cover these questions in reverse order, “how” before “how much.” Suppose a corporation has surplus cash. Should it distribute that cash by paying a dividend, or should it do so by repurchasing shares? In an ideal, frictionless world, the choice between dividend and repurchase does not matter. In practice the choice can be important. First, investors expect a firm that has made regular dividend payments to continue doing so and to increase those payments steadily as earnings increase. Dividends are rarely cut back, unless the firm suffers significant, continuing losses, and managers don’t increase dividends unless they are confident that the dividend can be maintained.